Iowa Hawkeyes vs Michigan State Spartans NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Iowa Hawkeyes vs Michigan State Prediction 10/19/2024

The Iowa Hawkeyes (4-2) face off against the Michigan State Spartans (3-3) on Saturday, October 19th. This game will be played at Spartan Stadium (MI) in East Lansing and televised on NBC. Iowa is coming off a win in their previous game, while Michigan State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Oregon. Kickoff is set for 7:30 ET.

Iowa Hawkeyes vs Michigan State Spartans

 

Iowa Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 8, Iowa’s offense is averaging 29.2 points per game, placing them 45th in the nation. They are ranked 70th in our offensive power rankings. Their strength lies in the run game, averaging 223.2 rushing yards per game on 38.5 attempts, ranking 17th nationally.

Kaleb Johnson leads the rushing attack with 937 yards, 12 touchdowns, and an impressive 7 yards per carry. Quarterback Cade McNamara has thrown for 794 yards with five touchdowns and three interceptions. Iowa ranks 122nd in passing yards per game.

Michigan State Offense Breakdown

Michigan State’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 19.8 points per game, which ranks 83rd in the nation. Heading into week 8, they are 82nd in our offensive power rankings. Their run game has been particularly weak, with only 123.2 rushing yards per game, placing them 100th nationally.

Aidan Chiles leads the Spartans’ passing attack with 1,212 yards, but he has thrown nine interceptions compared to five touchdowns, resulting in a passer rating of 68. Overall, Michigan State ranks 121st in passer rating. Nick Marsh leads the team’s receivers with 320 yards.

Iowa Team Defense

Iowa’s defense has been strong this season, ranking 18th nationally by allowing just 17.7 points per game. They’ve been particularly effective against the run, giving up only 96.3 rushing yards per game, which ranks 18th in the country.

In their recent game, Iowa’s defense allowed 16 points, gave up 127 rushing yards on 30 attempts, and 266 passing yards, while also forcing one interception.

Iowa Team Defense

Michigan State’s defense is ranked 33rd nationally, allowing 21 points per game. They’ve given up 199 passing yards per game and 133.5 rushing yards per contest.

In their recent game against Oregon, the Spartans allowed 31 points, surrendering 496 total yards, including 341 passing yards and two passing touchdowns.

Iowa vs Michigan State Trends

  • In their last three games away from home, the Iowa Hawkeyes have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 12 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last five home games, Michigan State has averaged 16 points per game while allowing 27. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 4-1.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Michigan State Spartans have a straight up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 2-1.
  • The Iowa Hawkeyes have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.

Hawkeyes vs Spartans Prediction

Michigan State is the underdog at +5.5 in their week eight matchup against Iowa, but we like their chances to pull off the upset. The Spartans are ranked 19th in the nation, and we predict a 20-13 victory for Michigan State.

With the over/under line set at 41 points, our projection of 33 points makes the under the best bet for this game.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.