iowa state vs kansas state ncaaf prediction

NCAAF Iowa State vs Kansas State Prediction 11/25/2023

The Iowa State Cyclones (6-5) travel to face off against the Kansas State Wildcats (8-3) on Saturday, November 25th. This game will be played at Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan and televised on FOX. Kansas State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Iowa State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Texas. Kickoff is set for 8:00 ET.

Iowa State Cyclones vs Kansas State Wildcats

The Iowa State Cyclones Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In Iowa State’s most recent loss to Texas, the Cyclones faced a -9-point deficit going into the 4th and were unable to mount a comeback effort, falling 26-16. In the loss vs. Texas, quarterback Rocco Becht finished with a QB rating of 114.45 while completing 24 of 32 passes for 323 yards. He also ended the game with two touchdowns.

The betting lines going into the game were 44.5 on the over/under and Iowa State as 7-point underdogs. As they combined for 42 points, this was a hit for the under and Iowa State was handed an ATS loss.

With a 6-5 record, the Iowa State Cyclones take on Kansas State. Their road record so far is (3-2) and at home (2-3).

So far, Iowa State has been favored five times and the underdog in five games. This has led to an ATS record of 5-5 and an average scoring differential of +4.4. Iowa State has an over/under record of 4-6 so far this season. On average their games have combined for 45.3 points with the average over/under line being 44.4 points.

The Kansas State Wildcats Are Coming Off A Win

Kansas State heads into this week’s matchup vs. Iowa State after beating Kansas 31-27 in their most recent game. In Kansas State’s recent win, quarterback Will Howard not only tossed two touchdowns but also rushed for one touchdown. Throughout the game, he threw for a total of 165 yards while achieving a completion rate of 54.2%.

Despite winning straight-up, Kansas State did not cover the spread as pre-game 7.5 point favorites. The teams fell short of the over/under line of 59.5 points.

So far, the Kansas State Wildcats are 8-3, including going 2-2 on the road and 5-0 at home.

Against the spread, Kansas State has gone 6-3 this season. The Wildcats have been favored eight times compared to one game as the underdog. This season, Kansas State holds an over/under record of 5-4. On average, their games have produced a combined total of 57.4 points, with the typical over/under line set at 54.8 points.

Iowa State Offense Breakdown

The Cyclones’ heads into the game, averaging 119.5 rushing yards per game and 3 yards per attempt. Overall, they’re 104th in rushing yards and 104th in passing yards at 228.1 yards per contest. Iowa State is averaging 24.8 points per game, which is 67th in the nation.

This season, Rocco Becht has thrown for a total of 2444 yards while maintaining an average of 12.2 yards per completion. His completion percentage is 63.4%, and he’s recorded 17 touchdowns.

Kansas State Offense Breakdown

Kansas State’s offense has put up an average of 38.1 points per game, placing them 12th in the NCAA rankings. Through the air, they’ve gained 242.6 passing yards on average, ranking 51st in the nation. On the ground, they’re holding the 14th position in rushing yards, with 432 rushing attempts per game this season.

This season, Will Howard has thrown for 2355 yards while maintaining an average of 12.1 per completion. His completion percentage stands at 63.1%, and he’s recorded 23 touchdowns.

Iowa State Team Defense

This season, the Cyclones’ defense has yielded an average of 126 rushing yards, earning them a rank of 164th. Opponents have an average of 211.3 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks attaining a passer rating of 72.7 when facing Iowa State. They are currently 80th in points allowed in NCAA rankings.

Kansas State Team Defense

So far this season, the Wildcats’ defense has given up 132 rushing yards per game against the run (158th). Opponents are averaging 230.2 passing yards and opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 76.6 against Kansas State. In terms of points allowed, they are 87th in the NCAA.

Iowa State vs Kansas State Trends

  • When playing on the road, Iowa State has an ATS mark of 3-0 vs. the spread.
  • Kansas State is 2-3 Against the spread in their last five games at home.
  • Kansas State’s ATS record in their three most recent games as an underdog is 2-1.
  • Looking back on the last five times Iowa State was favored, their ATS record was 3-2.

Iowa State vs Kansas State Prediction

Coming into this game, Kansas State’s offense has been a below average group at converting on third downs. I’m not counting on them suddenly figuring this out and like Iowa State +11.5.

Kansas State has an average margin vs. the over/under of +1.4 this season. With the over/under set at 47.5, we anticipate this game to exceed expectations, ending with a combined total of 49 points.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.