Missouri vs Iowa Music City Bowl

NCAAF Iowa vs Missouri Prediction Music City Bowl

The Iowa Hawkeyes (8-4) face off against the Missouri Tigers (9-3) on Monday, December 30th. This game will be played at Nissan Stadium in Nashville and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 2:30 ET.

Iowa Hawkeyes vs Missouri Tigers

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Iowa Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 1, Iowa’s offense is ranked 69th in our power rankings, and they are 49th in scoring, averaging 28 points per game. Their strength is their running game, where they rank 23rd nationally, averaging 200.6 rushing yards per game on 38.3 attempts.

Kaleb Johnson leads the rushing attack with 1,537 yards and 21 touchdowns, averaging 6 yards per carry. Quarterback Cade McNamara has thrown for 1,017 yards, with six touchdowns and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 76.

Missouri Offense Breakdown

Missouri’s offense is averaging 29.1 points per game, placing them 45th nationally, and they are ranked 40th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10. They have been strong on third downs, converting 46.7% of their attempts, which ranks 16th in the country. Missouri’s run game is their focus, with 39.9 rushing attempts per game, and they are averaging 172.6 rushing yards per game.

Nate Noel leads the team with 804 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored three touchdowns. Quarterback Brady Cook has thrown for 2,248 yards with a 63.3% completion rate, recording nine touchdowns and two interceptions. Theo Wease Jr. has 809 receiving yards on 55 catches.

Iowa Team Defense

Iowa’s defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 7th nationally by allowing just 17.1 points per game. They’ve given up 118.1 rushing yards per game (34th) and 196.2 passing yards per game, with quarterbacks posting a 76.6 passer rating against them.

In their recent game against Nebraska, Iowa’s defense allowed just 10 points, giving up 334 total yards. Nebraska ran the ball 43 times for 144 yards and threw 33 passes, completing 22 for 190 yards, but Iowa did not force any interceptions.

Iowa Team Defense

Missouri’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 17th nationally by allowing just 20.1 points per game. They’ve given up an average of 134 rushing yards per game and 185.5 passing yards, ranking 37th in the country against the pass.

In their latest game, Missouri allowed 21 points against Arkansas, giving up 148 rushing yards and 229 passing yards, but they managed to keep Arkansas from throwing any touchdown passes.

Iowa vs Missouri Trends

  • Through their last ten road games, Iowa has an ATS record of just 4-6. However, their overall record was 5-5 while averaging 14 points per game.
  • Across their last three home contests, Missouri has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2, while averaging 23 points per game.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Iowa Hawkeyes have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-3.
  • As the betting favorite, the Missouri Tigers have an ATS record of 4-1 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 5-0.

Hawkeyes vs Tigers Prediction

With the over/under line set at 40 points, our projection of 37 total points suggests that taking the under is the best play for this Iowa vs. Missouri matchup. Missouri is the -3.5 point favorite at home, and we have them winning 22-15, which would be just under the line of 40 points.

Missouri is the better bet to cover the spread as the home favorite, and with the under looking like the best play, this is a good way to approach this week one college football matchup.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.