liberty vs UTEP ncaaf prediction

NCAAF Liberty Flames vs UTEP Miners Prediction 11/25/2023

The Liberty Flames (11-0) travel to face off against the UTEP Miners (3-8) on Saturday, November 25th. This game will be played at Sun Bowl in El Paso and televised on CBSS. Liberty is coming off a win in their previous game, while UTEP is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Middle Tennessee. Kickoff is set for 3:30 ET.

Liberty Flames vs UTEP Miners

The Liberty Flames Are Coming Off A Win

The Flames are looking to ride the momentum of their convincing 49-25 win over UMass. Against UMass, Kaidon Salter not only threw for two touchdowns but also ran for two touchdowns. He concluded with 225 passing yards and a completion rate of 68.8%.

On the point-spread, Liberty was favored by 26 going into the game, giving them an ATs loss. On the over/uner the combined 74 points surpassed the pre-game betting line of 64 points.

Liberty heads into this week’s game with a record of 11-0. This year, they have three games on the road and six games at home.

Against the spread, Liberty has put together a record of 7-2. This mark has come while being favored in every game. Through 11 games, the average over/under line in Liberty’s games is 57.2 points. Their games have averaged a combined 61 points leading to an OU record of 6-3.

The UTEP Miners Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Miners could never recover from a rough first quarter in their most recent game vs. Middle Tennessee, as they trailed 14-7 after the first period. UTEP ended up dropping the game 34-30. In the loss to Middle Tennessee, quarterback Cade McConnell concluded with a QB rating of 93.95 while connecting on 24 of 41 passes for 364 yards. Moreover, he contributed two touchdowns to the game.

UTEP and Middle Tennessee combined for 64 points in the game, which was enough to surpass the over/under line of 48 points. Even though UTEP lost straight-up, they did cover the spread as 8.5-point underdogs.

So far, the UTEP Miners are 3-8, including going 1-3 on the road and 0-4 at home.

So far, UTEP has been favored one time and the underdog in seven games. This has led to an ATS record of 3-5 and an average scoring differential of -8.1. This season, UTEP has posted an over/under record of 3-5 through 11 games. On average their games have combined for 46.5 points.

Liberty Offense Breakdown

On the ground, the Flames are 3rd in college football at 523 attempts per game. This has led to an average of 283.5 (1st). So far, they have turned to the passing game 21.9 and have a per game average of 219. Overall, they are 8th in points (39.9 PPG).

Kaidon Salter has thrown for 2409 yards this season, with an average of 17.5 per completion. His completion percentage is 60%, and he’s recorded 28 touchdowns.

UTEP Offense Breakdown

The Miners’ offense is gearing up to take on Liberty, with an average of 152.9 rushing yards per game and an 4 yards per attempt. In the college football rankings, they are currently in 74th place for rushing yards and 79th place for passing yards, accumulating an average of 217.4 yards per contest. UTEP’s overall scoring average is at 19.2 points per game, placing them 93rd rank nationally.

So far, Cade McConnell has accumulated 1273 passing yards while averaging 15.9 per completion. His completion rate for the year is 54.4%, and he’s tossed six touchdowns.

Liberty Team Defense

Coming into this week’s game, the Liberty defense is 80th in points allowed at 21.1 points per game. So far, team’s have averaged 238.5 passing yards per game vs. the unit (123rd). On the ground, they are giving up 112.9 rushing yards, putting them 34th in college football.

UTEP Team Defense

In terms of passing yards allowed per game, UTEP’s defense is ranked 160th. Opponents, on average, attempt 27.3 passes against the Miners. They are allowing 27.3 PPG, which places them 111th in college football. Their rush defense ranks 140th in the NCAA.

Liberty vs UTEP Trends

  • When playing on the road, Liberty has an ATS mark of 8-2 vs. the spread.
  • UTEP is 5-5 in their last ten home games.
  • Looking back at the last ten times UTEP went into a game as the underdog, their ATS mark was 5-5.
  • Liberty are 2-1 in their last three games as favorites.

Liberty vs UTEP Prediction

Not only did Liberty run the ball well in their most recent game, they are facing a UTEP defense that struggled to slow down the run vs. Middle Tennessee. For this matchup, I’m taking Liberty at -17.

The analysis we’ve been running for this game has Liberty and UTEP finishing with a combined 58 points. With the over/under line sitting at 59, I’m getting a bet down on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.