Louisiana vs Troy ncaaf betting

NCAAF: Louisiana vs. Troy Prediction 11/18/2023

The Louisiana Ragin Cajuns (5-5) travel to face off against the Troy Trojans (8-2) on Saturday, November 18th. This game will be played at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) in Troy and televised on NFLN. Troy is coming off a win in their previous game, while Louisiana is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Southern Miss. Kickoff is set for 3:30 ET.

Louisiana Ragin Cajuns vs Troy Trojans

The Louisiana Ragin Cajuns Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their most recent game, Louisiana fell to Southern Miss by a score of 34-31. The team’s went into overtime in the game, as they were all tied at 28-28 in regulation. In the loss against Southern Miss, quarterback Chandler Fields achieved a QB rating of 100.77, completing 24 of 38 passes for 260 yards. Additionally, he contributed two touchdowns to the game.

The over hit in this game as the pre-game over/under matchup was 52. On the point spread, Louisiana was handed a straight-up and ATS loss as they were favored by 9.

This season, the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns are currently 5-5. So far this season, they have played five road games and three at home.

Louisiana’s average scoring differential for the season is +2.5 leading to an ATS mark of 3-5. The Ragin Cajuns have been favored five times and the underdog in three games Through 10 games, the average over/under line in Louisiana’s games is 56.9 points. Their games have averaged a combined 59.7 points leading to an OU record of 4-4.

The Troy Trojans Are Coming Off A Win

The Trojans are looking to ride the momentum of their convincing 45-14 win over UL Monroe. In the win vs. UL Monroe, quarterback Gunnar Watson finished with a QB rating of 110.95 while completing 24 of 39 passes for 219 yards. He also ended the game with four touchdowns.

When looking at how their game played out from a betting perspective, their combined 59 points resulting in the over hitting. The over/under line going into the game was 46. Troy also covered the spread as 21.5-point favorites.

So far, the Troy Trojans are 8-2, including going 4-1 on the road and 3-1 at home.

Troy has gone into seven games as the favorite this season and two games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 6-3. Heading into this week’s game, Troy’s over/under record is 2-7. Their average margin against their over/under lines is currently -7.7 with their games averaging 44.9 points per game.

Louisiana Offense Breakdown

Louisiana’s rushing attack is ranked 47th in college football with 360 rushing attempts per game. This has translated into an average of 192.9 rushing yards per game, placing them 23rd nationally. On average, they are attempting 28.1 passes per game leading to 213.4 passing yards per contest. In terms of scoring, they hold the 38th position, averaging 31.1 points per game.

This season, Zeon Chriss has thrown for 1222 yards while maintaining an average of 12 per completion. His completion percentage stands at 66.7%, and he’s recorded 11 touchdowns.

Troy Offense Breakdown

The Trojans’ offense is set to face Louisiana while averaging 153.8 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. In the national rankings, they currently stand at 74th for rushing yards and 31st for passing yards, with an average of 274.2 yards per matchup. Overall, Troy is putting up 29 points per game, which is 49th nationally.

This season, Gunnar Watson has been responsible for 2649 passing yards, maintaining an average of 13.8 per completion. He has a completion rate of 61.3%, having thrown 21 touchdowns.

Louisiana Team Defense

The Louisiana defense holds the 114th position in points allowed, allowing 28.6 points per game. Teams have an average of 225.4 passing yards per game against them (90th nationally). In terms of rushing, they’ve given up 163.3 rushing yards, placing them 113th in college football.

Troy Team Defense

On defense, the Trojans defense has 28 sacks and are 1st in QB hurries. So far, teams are scoring 15.9 points per game against them (54th). In terms of pass defense, they’re ranked 43rd in the NCAA, allowing 194.9 passing yards per game. Moreover, Troy’s run defense is allowing 102.1 rushing yards per contest.

Louisiana vs Troy Trends

  • Louisiana’s ten most recent games vs. the spread has seen them go 4-6 against the spread.
  • Troy’s ATS record at home (last ten) is 9-1.
  • In the five most recent times they were the underdog, Troy has put together an ATS record of 4-1.
  • Louisiana’s record vs. the spread in their five most recent games as the favorite is 1-4.

Louisiana vs Troy Prediction

Louisiana’s pass defense was able to contain UL Monroe’s passing attack in their recent game. Even as 15.5-point underdogs on their away turf, I believe they have what it takes to cover against Troy.

Louisiana comes into this week’s game with an average margin of +3.7 against their over/under lines. With an over/under of 47.5, our prediction is that this game will go over, resulting in a combined total of 49 points.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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