Marshall vs South Alabama ncaaf betting

NCAAF: Marshall vs. South Alabama Prediction 11/18/2023

The Marshall Thundering Herd (5-5) travel to face off against the South Alabama Jaguars (5-5) on Saturday, November 18th. This game will be played at Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile and televised on ESPN+. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 5:00 ET.

Marshall Thundering Herd vs South Alabama Jaguars

The Marshall Thundering Herd Are Coming Off A Win

The Thundering Herd are coming a 38-33 win over Georgia Southern, heading into their matchup vs. South Alabama. Cole Pennington finished with 201 yards against Georgia Southern while going 15 for 20 for a completion percentage of 75.0%. He ended the game without a rushing or passing touchdown.

Going into the game, the oddsmakers had this one as a pick em, giving Marshall an ATS win. The team’s combined 71 points surpassed the over/under line of 56.5.

So far, the Marshall Thundering Herd are 5-5, including going 1-4 on the road and 3-1 at home.

So far, Marshall has been favored four times and the underdog in four games. This has led to an ATS record of 3-6 and an average scoring differential of -4.5. Over the course of 10 games, the average over/under line in Marshall’s matchups has been 49.1 points. These games have had an average combined score of 53.3 points, leading to an OU record of 5-4.

The South Alabama Jaguars Are Coming Off A Win

South Alabama heads into this week’s matchup vs. Marshall after beating Arkansas State 21-14 in their most recent game. In the win vs. Arkansas State, quarterback Carter Bradley concluded with a QB rating of 116.25, connecting on 19 of 25 passes for 145 yards. He also added two touchdowns to his performance.

Combining for 35 points, the teams fell short of the over/under line of 55. South Alabama was favored to win by 14.5 going into the game, giving them an ATS loss.

So far, the South Alabama Jaguars are 5-5, including going 2-3 on the road and 2-2 at home.

Against the spread, South Alabama has gone 3-6 this season. The Jaguars have been favored six times compared to three games as the underdog. Over 10 games, the average over/under line for South Alabama’s games has been 50.1 points. The total score in these matchups has averaged 51 points, resulting in an OU record of 5-4.

Marshall Offense Breakdown

The Thundering Herd come into their matchup vs. South Alabama 59th in college football at 340 rushing attempts per game. This has translated to an average of 130.2 rushing yards per game, placing them 93rd nationally. Additionally, they’ve been airing it out 33.3 times each game, accumulating an average of 230.9 passing yards. In terms of scoring, they stand 71st, with 24.4 points per game.

This season, Cam Fancher has thrown for a total of 1948 yards while maintaining an average of 10.5 yards per completion. His completion percentage is 64.8%, and he’s recorded eight touchdowns.

South Alabama Offense Breakdown

The Jaguars’ offense is gearing up to take on Marshall, with an average of 164.8 rushing yards per game and an 4 yards per attempt. In the college football rankings, they are currently in 59th place for rushing yards and 41st place for passing yards, accumulating an average of 258.4 yards per contest. South Alabama’s overall scoring average is at 29.9 points per game, placing them 44th rank nationally.

Carter Bradley leads the team in passing yards this season with 2301. He’s averaged 12.4 per completion and holds a 66.7% completion rate, having thrown 15 touchdowns.

Marshall Team Defense

Marshall comes into the game 117th in points allowed, allowing 28.9 points per game. Teams have been gaining 216.2 passing yards on average against them (77th). Against the run, they’re giving up 167.5 yards, placing them 120th in college football.

South Alabama Team Defense

South Alabama’s defense ranks 76th in points allowed, with 21.1 points given up per game. Teams have been averaging 198.9 passing yards against them (50th nationally). On the ground, they’ve conceded 125 rushing yards, putting them 47th in college football.

Marshall vs South Alabama Trends

  • Marshall’s three most recent games vs. the spread has seen them go 0-3 against the spread.
  • Looking across South Alabama’s ten most recent home games, they are 5-5 against the spread.
  • South Alabama’s ATS record in their ten most recent games as the underdog is 5-5.
  • When favored, Marshall has gone 5-5 vs. the spread (last 10).

Marshall vs South Alabama Prediction

South Alabama didn’t look good in the passing game in their most recent game vs. Arkansas State. I’m not expecting them to suddenly turn things around, and like Marshall as 10.5-point underdogs.

Marshall’s games have seen a combined average of 53.3 points this season. Given the current over/under line of 48.5, I’m going with the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


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