Miami Hurricanes vs California Golden Bears NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Miami Hurricanes vs California Prediction 10/5/2024

The Miami Hurricanes (5-0) face off against the California Golden Bears (3-1) on Saturday, October 5th. This game will be played at California Memorial Stadium in Berkeley and televised on ESPN. Miami is coming off a win in their previous game, while California is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Florida State. Kickoff is set for 10:30 ET.

Miami Hurricanes vs California Golden Bears

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Miami Offense Breakdown

Miami’s offense is firing on all cylinders, ranking 2nd in points per game with 49.4 and 4th in our offensive power rankings. They lead the nation in passing yards, averaging 392.6 per game, and are 6th in completions, with 26 per game. Their third-down conversion rate is the best in the country at 64.9%.

Cam Ward has thrown for 1,782 yards, 18 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions, boasting a passer rating of 133. Miami is 13th in passing attempts per game. Xavier Restrepo leads the receivers with 422 yards and five touchdowns. On the ground, Miami averages 193.2 rushing yards per game.

California Offense Breakdown

California’s offense has been underwhelming, averaging 23 points per game, which ranks 72nd nationally. They are 84th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6. Their rushing game has struggled, with 146.8 yards per game, placing them 97th in the country.

Quarterback Fernando Mendoza has completed 67.5% of his passes, totaling 892 yards with five touchdowns and two interceptions. He holds a passer rating of 95. Nyziah Hunter leads the receiving corps with 182 yards and four touchdowns.

Miami Team Defense

Despite allowing 34 points in their recent 38-34 win over Virginia Tech, Miami’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 21st nationally by giving up just 15 points per game. They allowed 394 yards in the game, including 206 rushing yards and 188 passing yards, but also forced an interception.

Opponents are averaging 94.6 rushing yards per game on 27.2 attempts against Miami, while quarterbacks have managed a passer rating of just 52.8, the 8th-lowest in the country, completing 56.6% of their passes for an average of 172 yards per game.

Miami Team Defense

California’s defense has been a bright spot this season, ranking 8th nationally by allowing just 12.8 points per game. In their recent matchup against Florida State, they gave up only 14 points, while forcing three interceptions. The Golden Bears limited Florida State to 73 rushing yards on 25 carries and allowed 222 passing yards.

Opponents are averaging 111.8 rushing yards per game on 31.5 attempts against California, while quarterbacks have posted a passer rating of just 50.9, the 6th-lowest in the country. The Golden Bears’ defense has allowed 182.2 passing yards per game, with a 52% completion rate.

Miami vs California Trends

  • In their last five road games, Miami has averaged 32 points per game while allowing 19 . The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, California has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 20 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the California Golden Bears have an ATS mark of just 4-6 in their last ten games. California posted a straight up mark of 2-8 in these matchups.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Miami Hurricanes have a straight up record of 8-2 and an ATS mark of 5-5.

Hurricanes vs Golden Bears Prediction

California is the -10 point favorite at home against Miami, and we have a projected final score of 29-19 in favor of the Golden Bears. With California as the home underdog, we like their chances to cover the spread.

For the over/under, with the line set at 54.5 points, our projection of 48 total points suggests taking the under as the best bet.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.