miami vs ball state ncaaf prediction

NCAAF Miami (OH) vs Ball State Prediction 11/25/2023

The Miami (OH) RedHawks (9-2) travel to face off against the Ball State Cardinals (4-7) on Saturday, November 25th. This game will be played at Scheumann Stadium in Muncie and televised on CBSS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 12:00 ET.

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Ball State Cardinals

The Miami (OH) RedHawks Are Coming Off A Win

Miami (OH) is coming off a 23-10 win over Buffalo in their last game. Aveon Smith finished with 146 yards against Buffalo while going 9 for 16 for a completion percentage of 56.2%. He ended the game without a rushing or passing touchdown.

Looking at the point-spread for this game, Miami (OH) covered as 7.5-point favorites. While on the over/under, the betting line was 37.5 at game time, resulting in a hit for the under.

This season, the Miami (OH) RedHawks are currently 9-2. So far this season, they have played five road games and five at home.

Miami (OH) has gone into seven games as the favorite this season and three games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 8-2. This season, Miami (OH) holds an over/under record of 4-6. On average, their games have produced a combined total of 44.6 points, with the typical over/under line set at 43.6 points.

The Ball State Cardinals Are Coming Off A Win

Ball State is coming off a 34-3 win over the Kent State. The Cardinals benefited from a strong first-half, going into halftime with a 13-6 lead. During their most recent win, quarterback Kiael Kelly found the end zone with two rushing touchdowns and gained 88 rushing yards. In the passing game, he achieved a completion rate of 28.6% and passed for 71 yards, resulting in a passer rating of 48.21.

The over/under line going into the game was 42 points, which the teams fell short of. Ball State picked up an ATS win as they were favored by 11.

The Ball State Cardinals take on the Miami (OH) with a 4-7 record, including 1-5 on the road and 2-2 at home.

So far, Ball State has been favored one time and the underdog in nine games. This has led to an ATS record of 5-4-1 and an average scoring differential of -6.5. So far this season, the average over/under line for Ball State’s games has been 47.1 points. The Cardinals have an over/under record of 3-7 heading into this week’s game.

Miami (OH) Offense Breakdown

The RedHawks’ heads into the game, averaging 164.5 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. Overall, they’re 60th in rushing yards and 60th in passing yards at 181.2 yards per contest. Miami (OH) is averaging 28.2 points per game, which is 54th in the nation.

Brett Gabbert has thrown for 1634 yards this season, with an average of 14.7 per completion. His completion percentage is 59%, and he’s recorded 14 touchdowns.

Ball State Offense Breakdown

Ball State comes into the game with an offense averaging 18.5, which places them at 95th in the NCAA rankings. Their passing game has them ranked 123rd nationally, with an average of 140.7 passing yards. In the rushing department, they’re 64th in the nation, with 416 rushing attempts per game for the season.

Layne Hatcher has accumulated 582 passing yards this season, with an average of 9.1 per completion. His completion rate for the year stands at 65.3%, and he’s tossed four touchdowns.

Miami (OH) Team Defense

Coming into this week’s game, the Miami (OH) defense is 55th in points allowed at 16.5 points per game. So far, team’s have averaged 200 passing yards per game vs. the unit (51st). On the ground, they are giving up 119.3 rushing yards, putting them 40th in college football.

Ball State Team Defense

The Ball State defense holds the 97th position in points allowed, allowing 25.1 points per game. Teams have an average of 207.4 passing yards per game against them (61st nationally). In terms of rushing, they’ve given up 118.7 rushing yards, placing them 39th in college football.

Miami (OH) vs Ball State Trends

  • Miami (OH)’s five most recent games vs. the spread has seen them go 5-0 against the spread.
  • Looking across Ball State’s three most recent home games, they are 2-1 against the spread.
  • In the five most recent times they were the underdog, Ball State has put together an ATS record of 4-1.
  • Over their last five games as the betting favorite, Miami (OH) has an ATS record of 5-0.

Miami (OH) vs Ball State Prediction

This game has me leaning towards Miami (OH) to cover at -6.5. Miami (OH) displayed a strong rushing game in their recent matchup with Buffalo, and I anticipate that momentum carrying into this week’s game. My bet will be on Miami (OH) to cover the spread before the game begins.

Games featuring Miami (OH) this season have averaged 44.6 points in total. Considering the over/under line at 37, I’m backing the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.