The Michigan State Spartans (4-3) face off against the Michigan Wolverines (4-3) on Saturday, October 26th. This game will be played at Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor and televised on BTN. Michigan State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Michigan is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Illinois. Kickoff is set for 7:30 ET.

Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines

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Michigan State Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 9, Michigan State’s offense ranks 85th nationally in scoring, averaging 21.6 points per game. They are 66th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Aidan Chiles has thrown for 1,468 yards, but he has more interceptions (10) than touchdowns (6) and holds a passer rating of 72.

Michigan State ranks 62nd in passing yards per game, averaging 233.4 yards, and they convert 40.7% of their third downs. Leading receiver Nick Marsh has 433 yards on 24 catches. On the ground, the Spartans average 136.1 rushing yards per game.

Michigan Offense Breakdown

Michigan’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 21.1 points per game, which ranks them 87th nationally. They are also 86th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 9. Their passing game has been particularly weak, with only 128.3 yards per game, placing them 122nd in the country. Davis Warren, their leading passer, has thrown for 444 yards with a passer rating of 57, recording six interceptions and only two touchdowns.

The Wolverines rank 30th in rushing attempts per game and are averaging 181.1 rushing yards per game. Kalel Mullings leads the ground attack with 676 yards, seven touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry. Semaj Morgan is the leading receiver with 106 yards and one touchdown.

Michigan State Team Defense

Michigan State’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 33rd nationally by allowing just 20.9 points per game. In their recent game against Iowa, they gave up 20 points while allowing 283 total yards, including 133 rushing yards and 150 passing yards. The defense also forced an interception during the game.

Opponents are averaging 192 passing yards per game against Michigan State, completing 59.5% of their passes. The Spartans have faced an average of 34 rushing attempts per game, allowing 133.4 rushing yards per contest.

Michigan State Team Defense

Michigan’s defense has been solid against the run this season, ranking 11th in the nation by allowing just 92.1 rushing yards per game. In their recent game against Illinois, they gave up 187 rushing yards on 38 attempts and allowed 80 passing yards, totaling 267 yards allowed. Illinois scored 21 points in the game, contributing to Michigan’s 21-7 loss.

On average, Michigan’s defense has given up 22.1 points per game this season. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 61.1% of their passes, averaging 234.1 passing yards per game, which ranks Michigan 112th in the country.

Michigan State vs Michigan Trends

• Across their last three road contests, Michigan State has a 3-0 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2, while averaging 18 points per game.
• Across the Michigan Wolverines last ten home games, the team averaged 34 points per game while allowing 14. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 7-3, while going 8-2 straight-up.
• Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Michigan State has an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 4-6 straight up.
• The last ten games that Michigan was favored, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 9-1 straight up.

Spartans vs Wolverines Prediction

Our projections for this Michigan vs. Michigan State matchup have the Wolverines winning 17-16. Michigan State comes into this game as the +5.5 point underdog, but we like their chances to cover the spread.

With the over/under line sitting at 40.5 points, we see the under as the best play, as our model is projecting a combined 33 points.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.