Michigan vs Maryland ncaaf betting

NCAAF: Michigan vs. Maryland Prediction 11/18/2023

The Michigan Wolverines (10-0) travel to face off against the Maryland Terrapins (6-4) on Saturday, November 18th. This game will be played at SECU Stadium in College Park and televised on FOX. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 12:00 ET.

Michigan Wolverines vs Maryland Terrapins

The Michigan Wolverines Are Coming Off A Win

In their most recent game, Michigan matched up with Penn State and came out on top with a 24-15 win. Heading into the 4th quarter of the game, Michigan held a 11-point lead. J.J. McCarthy finished with 60 yards against Penn State while going 7 for 8 for a completion percentage of 87.5%. He ended the game without a rushing or passing touchdown.

The over/under line going into the game was 44.5 points, which the teams fell short of. Michigan picked up an ATS win as they were favored by 4.

Michigan’s current record is 10-0 as they prepare for this week’s game. This year, they’ve played four road games and six matchups.

This season, Michigan has a scoring margin of +31.5. Their ATS record stands at 5-4-1 and they have been favored in all of their games. In 10 games played, the average over/under line for Michigan’s games has been set at 48.4 points. These contests have seen an average combined score of 46.5 points, resulting in an OU record of 5-5.

The Maryland Terrapins Are Coming Off A Win

Maryland most recently played against Nebraska, pulling out a close 13-10 win. In the win against Nebraska, quarterback Taulia Tagovailoa achieved a QB rating of 85.73, completing 27 of 40 passes for 283 yards. Additionally, he contributed one touchdown to the game.

The over/under line going into the game was 42.5 points, which the teams fell short of. Maryland picked up an ATS win as they were favored by 2.

The Maryland Terrapins take on the Michigan with a 6-4 record, including 2-2 on the road and 3-2 at home.

So far, Maryland has been favored seven times and the underdog in two games. This has led to an ATS record of 4-5 and an average scoring differential of +6.5. After 10 games, the average over/under line in Maryland’s matches stands at 50 points. The collective score in their games has averaged 51.3 points, resulting in an OU record of 5-4.

Michigan Offense Breakdown

Heading into their matchup vs. Maryland, the Wolverines’ offense is averaging 173.9 rushing yards per game, along with 4 yards per attempt. They currently hold the 46th rank in rushing yards and 60th rank in passing yards, amassing an average of 237.4 yards per game. In terms of scoring, Michigan is at 39 points per game, which is 11th in the NCAA.

This season, J.J. McCarthy has been responsible for 2194 passing yards, maintaining an average of 13.5 per completion. He has a completion rate of 76.2%, having thrown 18 touchdowns.

Maryland Offense Breakdown

The Terrapins’ offense is gearing up to take on Michigan, with an average of 115.4 rushing yards per game and an 4 yards per attempt. In the college football rankings, they are currently in 106th place for rushing yards and 26th place for passing yards, accumulating an average of 281 yards per contest. Maryland’s overall scoring average is at 28.9 points per game, placing them 50th rank nationally.

Taulia Tagovailoa, the team’s top passer, has thrown for 2769 yards with a completion rate of 65.3%. His current average yards per pass attempt is 7.4.

Michigan Team Defense

As we head into this week’s game, the Michigan defense ranks 35th for points allowed, with an average of 7.5 points per game. Teams have been gaining 134.6 passing yards per game against them (10th nationally). Against the run, they’ve given up 97.4 rushing yards, placing them 18th in college football.

Maryland Team Defense

Maryland’s defense is ranked 123rd in passing yards allowed per game as they prepare for this matchup. Opponents have attempted an average of 31.5 passing attempts against the Terrapins. They have given up 22.4 points per game so far, placing them 80th in college football. In the NCAA’s rush defense category, they are 45th.

Michigan vs Maryland Trends

  • Michigan is 3-0 ATS in their last road games.
  • Looking across Maryland’s three most recent home games, they are 1-2 against the spread.
  • Maryland is 4-6 in their last ten games as underdogs.
  • Michigan’s record vs. the spread in their five most recent games as the favorite is 4-1.

Michigan vs Maryland Prediction

I like Michigan to pick up the win and cover the spread in this matchup, as they have the edge in the passing game over Maryland. My spread pick for this game is to take Michigan at -19.

On the over/under, I have the best bet being to take the over at 50.5. This looks like a slam dunk bet for me, as my gut tells me the over will hit as well as our model projecting a combined 52 points.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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