Michigan Wolverines vs Indiana Hoosiers NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Michigan Wolverines vs Indiana Prediction 11/9/2024

The Michigan Wolverines (5-4) face off against the Indiana Hoosiers (9-0) on Saturday, November 9th. This game will be played at Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) in Bloomington and televised on CBS. Indiana is coming off a win in their previous game, while Michigan is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Oregon. Kickoff is set for 3:30 ET.

Michigan Wolverines vs Indiana Hoosiers

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Michigan Offense Breakdown

Michigan’s offense has been underwhelming heading into week 11, ranking 88th in points per game with 21, and 80th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game has struggled, averaging 134.3 yards per game, placing them 119th nationally. Davis Warren, their leading passer, has thrown for 732 yards with a passer rating of 75, recording five touchdowns and six interceptions.

Michigan is 31st in rushing attempts, averaging 165.9 yards per game on the ground. Kalel Mullings leads the team with 710 rushing yards, seven touchdowns, and an average of 5 yards per carry. Tyler Morris, the leading receiver, has 134 yards and two touchdowns this season.

Indiana Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 11, Indiana’s offense ranks 2nd in our power rankings and is 2nd in points per game, scoring 46.6. Kurtis Rourke has thrown for 2,204 yards and has a passer rating of 131. Indiana is 3rd nationally in passer rating and 13th in passing yards per game, averaging 284.3. They are also 7th in third-down conversions, converting 50.5% of their attempts.

Rourke has completed 73.3% of his passes, throwing 19 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Justice Ellison leads the rushing attack with 669 yards, 9 touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry. Elijah Sarratt has 649 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns this season.

Michigan Team Defense

Michigan’s defense struggled in their recent game against Oregon, allowing 38 points in a 38-17 loss. They gave up 470 total yards, including 294 passing yards and one passing touchdown, while forcing no interceptions. Oregon also rushed for 176 yards and scored four rushing touchdowns.

On the season, Michigan’s defense is ranked 51st nationally, allowing 23.3 points per game. Opponents have averaged 235.8 passing yards per game, ranking Michigan 117th in the country. They have allowed a 62.9% completion rate and a passer rating of 91.6. Against the run, Michigan is ranked 25th, giving up 109.6 rushing yards per game on 30.7 attempts per game.

Michigan Team Defense

Indiana’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking 8th nationally by allowing just 13.7 points per game. They’re 4th in the country against the run, giving up only 72.8 rushing yards per game, and 39th in passing yards allowed at 188.4 per game. Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 70.7 against Indiana, completing 62.2% of their throws.

In their last game, Indiana’s defense gave up just 10 points and held Michigan State to 193 total yards. They allowed 229 passing yards but forced two interceptions, and they completely shut down the run game, holding the Spartans to -36 rushing yards.

Michigan vs Indiana Trends

  • Through their last three road games, Michigan has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 16 points per game.
  • When looking at their past three matchups at home, Indiana has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 43 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
  • The last five games that Michigan was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight up.
  • Through their last five games as the favorite, the Indiana Hoosiers have an ATS record of 5-0 and a straight up mark of 5-0.

Wolverines vs Hoosiers Prediction

Indiana is the heavy favorite at -14 points in their week 11 matchup against Michigan. We expect the Hoosiers to win comfortably, with a projected final score of 34-16 in their favor.

Given the over/under line of 48.5 points, our projection of 50 total points makes the over the best bet. Indiana is likely to cover the spread, and with our projected combined score, the over is the best play.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.