The Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-7) face off against the Tennessee Volunteers (7-1) on Saturday, November 9th. This game will be played at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 7:00 ET.
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Tennessee Volunteers
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Mississippi State Offense Breakdown
Mississippi State’s offense is averaging 29.1 points per game heading into week 11, placing them 50th in the nation. They are ranked 54th in our offensive power rankings. The Bulldogs have focused on their passing game, averaging 255.2 yards per game, which ranks 26th nationally. They are 38th in passing attempts, with 31.1 per game, and 37th in completions, averaging 19 per game. Their third-down conversion rate is 41%, and they are 53rd in completion percentage at 61.1%.
Michael Van Buren Jr. leads Mississippi State’s passing attack with 1,323 yards, nine touchdowns, and four interceptions. He has a passer rating of 89. On the ground, the Bulldogs average 144.8 rushing yards per game. Davon Booth leads the team with 472 rushing yards, three touchdowns, and an average of 4 yards per carry. Kevin Coleman Jr. has 688 receiving yards, five touchdowns, and 57 catches.
Tennessee Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 11, Tennessee’s offense is averaging 38.1 points per game, placing them 12th in the nation. They are also 12th in rushing, with 237.1 yards per game on 44.6 attempts. Dylan Sampson has rushed for 980 yards and scored 19 touchdowns this season.
Nico Iamaleava has thrown for 1,705 yards, completing 65.4% of his passes. He has nine touchdowns and four interceptions. Tennessee ranks 69th in passing yards per game. Dont’e Thornton Jr. leads the team with 401 receiving yards and three touchdowns.
Mississippi State Team Defense
Mississippi State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 34.6 points per game. They rank 133rd in the nation, giving up 250 passing yards per game, with opposing quarterbacks completing 71.1% of their passes. On the ground, the Bulldogs have allowed 214 rushing yards per game.
In their recent game against UMass, Mississippi State’s defense gave up 20 points, allowing 335 total yards. UMass ran the ball 49 times for 199 yards, while the Bulldogs’ secondary allowed 136 passing yards and recorded one interception.
Mississippi State Team Defense
Heading into their matchup with Mississippi State, Tennessee’s defense ranks 5th nationally, allowing just 12.4 points per game. They’ve given up an average of 99.2 rushing yards per game, which is 12th best in the country, and 181.5 passing yards per game, ranking 31st. Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 73.1 against Tennessee, completing 58.9% of their throws.
In their recent game against Kentucky, Tennessee’s defense allowed 18 points but forced two interceptions. They gave up 366 total yards, including 174 rushing yards on 36 attempts and 192 passing yards, while holding Kentucky to 19 first downs.
Mississippi State vs Tennessee Trends
- Through their last ten road contests, the Mississippi State Bulldogs offense has averaged 17 points per game while allowing an average of 28. Mississippi State posted an overall record of 3-7 while going 5-5 ATS.
- When looking at their past three matchups at home, Tennessee has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 30 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
- Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Mississippi State Bulldogs have a straight up record of 0-5. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-2.
- Although the Tennessee Volunteers have a strong straight up record in their last five games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 2-3.
Bulldogs vs Volunteers Prediction
Our projections have Tennessee winning this matchup 44-25, but with the Bulldogs coming in as +23.5 point underdogs, we like their chances to cover the spread. For a point spread pick, we would take Mississippi State.
With the over/under line set at 61 points, our projection of 69 total points makes the over the best play for this matchup.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:November 5, 2024 Mississippi State Bulldogs, Tennessee Volunteers, Uncategorized