Missouri Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Missouri vs Alabama Crimson Prediction 10/26/2024

The Missouri Tigers (6-1) face off against the Alabama Crimson Tide (5-2) on Saturday, October 26th. This game will be played at Saban Field at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa and televised on ABC. Missouri is coming off a win in their previous game, while Alabama is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Tennessee. Kickoff is set for 3:30 ET.

Missouri Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide

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Missouri Offense Breakdown

Missouri’s offense is averaging 31.7 points per game, placing them 36th in the nation. They rank 55th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 9. The Tigers have been effective on third downs, converting 49.1% of their attempts, which ranks 12th nationally. They are also 22nd in passing attempts per game, averaging 35.6, and 18th in completions, with 22.7 per game. Their passing game is producing 250.1 yards per game, and they have a completion rate of 63.9%.

Quarterback Brady Cook has thrown for 1,545 yards, with a 63.1% completion rate. He has seven touchdowns and just one interception, with a passer rating of 95. Nate Noel leads the rushing attack with 503 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, but has only two touchdowns. Theo Wease Jr. has 35 receptions for 463 yards and one touchdown.

Alabama Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 9, Alabama’s offense ranks 19th in points per game, averaging 38.1. However, they are 11th in our offensive power rankings. Jalen Milroe has thrown for 1,727 yards, leading the passing game with a 68.5% completion rate. Alabama ranks 11th nationally in completion percentage. Milroe has 13 touchdowns and six interceptions, with a passer rating of 109.

Alabama is 36th in passing yards per game, averaging 260.4 yards. Ryan Williams leads the receivers with 649 yards and seven touchdowns on 31 catches. On the ground, Alabama averages 167.4 rushing yards per game. Jam Miller has 402 rushing yards, five touchdowns, and averages 6 yards per carry.

Missouri Team Defense

Missouri’s defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 10th nationally by allowing just 15.6 points per game. In their recent game against Auburn, they gave up 17 points, allowing 286 total yards, including 110 rushing yards on 35 attempts and 176 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 115.7 rushing yards per game against Missouri and 157.6 passing yards, which ranks 15th in the country. Quarterbacks have completed 56.4% of their passes with a 73.8 passer rating against Missouri’s defense.

Missouri Team Defense

Alabama’s defense will look to rebound after allowing 24 points in their recent 24-17 loss to Tennessee. The Crimson Tide gave up 414 total yards, including 220 rushing yards on 41 attempts, and 194 yards through the air, though they did manage to force two interceptions.

So far this season, Alabama ranks 35th nationally, allowing 21.3 points per game. Opponents are averaging 143.4 rushing yards per game and 210.6 passing yards, with a 59% completion rate and a passer rating of 79.4 against Alabama’s secondary.

Missouri vs Alabama Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Missouri has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 27 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • Through their last five home games, Alabama has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 28 points per game.
  • Missouri has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last five games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Alabama Crimson Tide have a straight up record of 8-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.

Tigers vs Crimson Tide Prediction

Alabama is the -13.5 point favorite at home in their week nine matchup against Missouri. Our projections have the Crimson Tide winning 39-21, and we like their chances to cover the spread.

With the over/under line sitting at 56.5 points, we see this game going just over that total, with a combined score of 60 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.