The Northwestern Wildcats (2-3) face off against the Maryland Terrapins (3-2) on Friday, October 11th. This game will be played at SECU Stadium in College Park and televised on FOX. Both Northwestern and Maryland will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 ET.
Northwestern Wildcats vs Maryland Terrapins
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Northwestern Offense Breakdown
Northwestern’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 18.6 points per game, which ranks 87th nationally. They are 113th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 7. Their third-down conversion rate is low at 29.7%, and they are 109th in passing yards, averaging 175.4 per game. Their passer rating is 70, placing them 121st in the country.
Jack Lausch leads the Wildcats’ passing attack with 523 yards, a passer rating of 74, and a 53.1% completion rate. He has thrown four touchdowns and two interceptions. Cam Porter leads the rushing game with 249 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. A.J. Henning is the top receiver with 296 yards and three touchdowns on 31 catches.
Maryland Offense Breakdown
Maryland’s offense is averaging 33.4 points per game, ranking 30th in the nation, and they are 32nd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 7. Their passing game is their strength, ranking 10th in completions and 20th in passing yards, with 304.8 yards per game. They are 21st in passing attempts, and their third-down conversion rate is 48.1%.
Billy Edwards Jr. has thrown for 1,444 yards, completing 72.3% of his passes, with 11 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. He has a passer rating of 112. Tai Felton leads the receivers with 642 yards and 5 touchdowns on 46 catches. Maryland is 83rd in rushing, averaging 149 yards per game.
Northwestern Team Defense
Northwestern’s defense struggled in their recent game against Indiana, allowing 41 points and 538 total yards. The Wildcats gave up 380 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air, while also allowing 158 rushing yards on 32 attempts.
Despite the rough outing, Northwestern ranks 31st nationally in points allowed, giving up 20.8 points per game. They are 20th in the country against the run, allowing just 95.6 rushing yards per game. However, they rank 132nd in passing yards allowed, giving up 254.2 yards per game and a 65.2% completion rate.
Northwestern Team Defense
Maryland’s defense had a tough outing in their recent game against Indiana, allowing 42 points in a 42-28 loss. They gave up 538 total yards, including 380 passing yards and three passing touchdowns.
Despite this performance, Maryland ranks 34th nationally in points allowed per game (21.8). They are 45th in rushing yards allowed per game (118.8) and 147th in passing yards allowed (269.4).
Northwestern vs Maryland Trends
- Across their last five road contests, Northwestern has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 19 points per game.
- In their last five home games, Maryland has averaged 27 points per game while allowing 24. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Northwestern has an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 5-5 straight up.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Maryland Terrapins have a straight up record of 2-1, while going 1-2 against the spread.
Wildcats vs Terrapins Prediction
We like Northwestern to not only cover the +10 point spread as road underdogs, but also to win the game outright. Our projected final score is 32-19 in favor of the Wildcats.
With the over/under line set at 45.5 points, our projection of 51 total points suggests taking the over as the best play.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:October 8, 2024 Maryland Terrapins, Northwestern Wildcats