Oklahoma Sooners vs Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Oklahoma Sooners vs Ole Miss Prediction 10/26/2024

The Oklahoma Sooners (4-3) face off against the Ole Miss Rebels (5-2) on Saturday, October 26th. This game will be played at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford and televised on ESPN. Both Oklahoma and Ole Miss will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 ET.

Oklahoma Sooners vs Ole Miss Rebels

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Oklahoma Offense Breakdown

Oklahoma’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 22.1 points per game, ranking them 81st in the nation. Our power rankings place them 119th heading into week 9. Their third-down conversion rate is only 27.5%, and they are 107th in passing yards, averaging 176 per game. Their passer rating is 80, placing them 103rd nationally.

Jackson Arnold leads the team with 763 passing yards, eight touchdowns, and three interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 83. Oklahoma is 23rd in rushing attempts, averaging 38.7 per game, but they are 96th in rushing yards, with 121 per game. Jovantae Barnes leads the ground game with 307 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 3 yards per carry.

Ole Miss Offense Breakdown

Ole Miss heads into week 9 with the 8th-best scoring offense in college football, averaging 41.4 points per game. They are also ranked 13th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game has been their strength, ranking 3rd in the nation with 360.1 yards per game. They are 17th in passing completions, averaging 23 per game, and their quarterback, Jaxson Dart, has thrown for 2,384 yards with a passer rating of 122.

Dart has completed 70.2% of his passes this season, throwing 14 touchdowns and just three interceptions. Ole Miss is 9th in passer rating and 13th in completion percentage nationally. Tre Harris leads the receiving corps with 987 yards and six touchdowns on 59 catches. On the ground, the Rebels are averaging 201.3 rushing yards per game, with Henry Parrish Jr. contributing 612 yards and nine touchdowns.

Oklahoma Team Defense

Oklahoma’s defense is currently ranked 35th in the nation, allowing an average of 21.3 points per game. In their recent game, a 35-9 loss to South Carolina, they gave up 35 points but allowed just 256 total yards, including 76 rushing yards on 39 attempts and 180 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 113.6 rushing yards per game against Oklahoma, ranking 34th nationally. Through the air, quarterbacks have completed 62.8% of their passes, totaling 214.6 passing yards per game and posting a passer rating of 87.7.

Oklahoma Team Defense

Ole Miss’s defense has been strong this season, ranking third nationally by allowing just 10.6 points per game. They’ve excelled against the run, giving up only 70.1 rushing yards per game, the fourth-lowest in the country.

In their recent game against LSU, Ole Miss allowed 29 points and 395 total yards, including 160 rushing yards and 235 passing yards, though they didn’t give up any passing touchdowns.

Oklahoma vs Ole Miss Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Oklahoma has an ATS mark of 5-5. Their straight up record in these matchups was 5-5 while averaging 32 points per game.
  • Across the Ole Miss Rebels last ten home games, the team averaged 26 points per game while allowing 22. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 5-4-1, while going 6-4 straight-up.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Oklahoma Sooners have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 3-7.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Ole Miss Rebels have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.

Sooners vs Rebels Prediction

Ole Miss is the heavy favorite in their week nine matchup against Oklahoma, with the point spread set at -20.5 in their favor. We expect the Rebels to win by a score of 38-13, which would have them covering the spread.

With the over/under line at 48 points, our projection of 51 total points suggests that taking the over is the best play for this game.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.