Oklahoma State Cowboys vs TCU Horned NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Oklahoma State Cowboys vs TCU Prediction 11/9/2024

The Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-6) face off against the TCU Horned Frogs (5-4) on Saturday, November 9th. This game will be played at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth and televised on FS1. Both Oklahoma State and TCU will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 ET.

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs TCU Horned Frogs

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Oklahoma State Offense Breakdown

Oklahoma State’s offense is ranked 44th in our power rankings heading into week 11, and they are 47th in points per game, scoring 29.4. Alan Bowman has thrown for 2,294 yards, leading the Cowboys’ passing attack, which is 18th in the nation with 279.2 yards per game. Bowman has 16 touchdowns but also 11 interceptions, and his passer rating is 85.

Oklahoma State is 10th in passing attempts, averaging 38 per game, and 15th in completions, with 22.6 per game. They are converting 37.3% of their third downs. On the ground, they are 109th in rushing yards, averaging 107.1 per game. Ollie Gordon II has rushed for 571 yards and eight touchdowns, averaging 3 yards per carry. De’Zhaun Stribling leads the receivers with 648 yards and four touchdowns.

TCU Offense Breakdown

TCU’s offense has been driven by their passing game, ranking 3rd in the nation with 333.7 yards per game. They are 3rd in completions, averaging 26.4 per game, and 7th in attempts. Josh Hoover has thrown for 2,947 yards, completing 67.1% of his passes, with 21 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. He has a passer rating of 104.

Jack Bech leads the receiving corps with 923 yards and 9 touchdowns on 51 catches. TCU is 31st in scoring, averaging 32.7 points per game, and we have them 34th in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing attack is lacking, with just 107 yards per game.

Oklahoma State Team Defense

Oklahoma State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 31.2 points per game. In their recent game against Arizona State, they gave up 42 points, with 530 total yards allowed, including 304 passing yards and three passing touchdowns.

Opponents have averaged 248.8 rushing yards per game against Oklahoma State, ranking them 181st nationally. This season, quarterbacks have completed 57.5% of their passes against the Cowboys, with a passer rating of 92.4.

Oklahoma State Team Defense

TCU’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 29.2 points per game. In their recent game against Baylor, they gave up 37 points, including five rushing touchdowns and 257 rushing yards. Baylor also gained 242 yards through the air, totaling 499 yards of offense.

Opponents have averaged 178.6 rushing yards per game against TCU, ranking them 128th nationally. TCU’s secondary has allowed 181.3 passing yards per game, which ranks 30th, with quarterbacks completing 57.9% of their passes.

Oklahoma State vs TCU Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, Oklahoma State has an ATS record of 5-5 while averaging 29 per game. The team went 4-6 overall in these games.
  • In their last five games at home, the TCU Horned Frogs have a straight up record of 3-2 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team averaged 32 points per game in this stretch.
  • Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Oklahoma State Cowboys have a straight up record of 0-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
  • Going back to their last three games as the favorite, the TCU Horned Frogs have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 0-3.

Cowboys vs Horned Frogs Prediction

Our projections suggest that TCU will win their week 11 matchup against Oklahoma State by a score of 42-26. TCU is favored by -11.5 points, and we expect them to cover the spread.

For the over/under, with the line set at 66.5 points, our model is projecting a combined 68 points, so we recommend taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.