Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Baylor Bears NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Oklahoma State vs Baylor Prediction 10/26/2024

The Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-4) face off against the Baylor Bears (3-4) on Saturday, October 26th. This game will be played at McLane Stadium in Waco and televised on ESPN+. Baylor is coming off a win in their previous game, while Oklahoma State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the BYU. Kickoff is set for 3:30 ET.

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Baylor Bears

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Oklahoma State Offense Breakdown

Oklahoma State’s offense is centered around their passing game, ranking 12th in passing attempts per game. They are 22nd in passing yards, averaging 281.1 yards per game, and 20th in completions. Overall, they are 40th in scoring, with 30.9 points per game, and we have them 35th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 9.

Quarterback Alan Bowman has thrown for 1,760 yards, with 14 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. His passer rating is 86, and he has completed 59.4% of his passes. Leading receiver De’Zhaun Stribling has 556 yards and four touchdowns. Oklahoma State’s run game is struggling, ranking 102nd with 115 rushing yards per game.

Baylor Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 9, Baylor’s offense ranks 33rd in scoring, averaging 32.4 points per game. They are 54th in our offensive power rankings. Sawyer Robertson leads the passing game with 1,319 yards and 14 touchdowns, and he has thrown just three interceptions. His passer rating is 103. Baylor is 44th in passing attempts per game.

Baylor is 71st in rushing, averaging 152.1 yards per game. Bryson Washington leads the team with 302 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Josh Cameron has 352 receiving yards and seven touchdowns this season.

Oklahoma State Team Defense

Oklahoma State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 28.7 points per game. In their recent matchup against BYU, they gave up 38 points and 473 total yards, including 255 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns. Despite forcing three interceptions, the defense couldn’t keep BYU in check.

Opponents have averaged 238.3 rushing yards per game against Oklahoma State, ranking them 179th nationally. Through the air, they’ve allowed 252.7 passing yards per game, though quarterbacks have completed just 56.3% of their passes, the 32nd-lowest percentage in the country.

Oklahoma State Team Defense

In their recent game against Texas Tech, Baylor’s defense allowed 35 points but still managed to secure a 59-35 victory. The Bears gave up 455 total yards, including 306 passing yards and four touchdowns through the air, while forcing one interception. Texas Tech also rushed 35 times for 149 yards.

So far this season, Baylor’s defense is ranked 54th nationally, allowing 25.6 points per game. Opponents have averaged 162 rushing yards per game on 40.9 attempts. Through the air, Baylor has allowed 195.3 passing yards per game, with quarterbacks completing just 52.9% of their passes, the 13th-lowest completion rate in the country.

Oklahoma State vs Baylor Trends

  • Oklahoma State has a 2-3 record in their last five road games. In this stretch, they averaged 32 points per game while allowing 33. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • In their last five games at home, the Baylor Bears have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 28 points per game in this stretch.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Oklahoma State has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 4-6 straight up.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Baylor has an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 4-6 straight up.

Cowboys vs Bears Prediction

Oklahoma State is the +6.5 point underdog on the road vs. Baylor, but we like their chances to win and cover the spread. Our projected final score is 35-24 in favor of the Cowboys.

With the over/under line set at 64.5 points, we recommend taking the under, as our projections suggest a combined total of 59 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.