Oklahoma vs Houston

NCAAF: Oklahoma State vs. Houston Prediction 11/18/2023

The Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-3) travel to face off against the Houston Cougars (4-6) on Saturday, November 18th. This game will be played at TDECU Stadium in Houston and televised on ESPN2. Both Oklahoma State and Houston will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00 ET.

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Houston Cougars

The Oklahoma State Cowboys Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After trailing by -10 at halftime, Oklahoma State could not make a comeback and lost their most recent game 45-3 to UCF. Against UCF, Alan Bowman threw for 225 yards against UCF, but did throw a touchdown pass. Overall his passer rating was 37.38 on a completion percentage of 52.8%.

The over/under line for the matchup was 64, resulting in a hit for the under. Against the spread, Oklahoma State was tagged with the L, as they were favored by 2.5.

The Oklahoma State Cowboys take on the Houston with a 7-3 record, including 2-2 on the road and 4-1 at home.

Against the spread, Oklahoma State has gone 6-3 this season. The Cowboys have been favored four times compared to five games as the underdog. This season, Oklahoma State has an over/under record of 4-5. Their games have, on average, produced a combined total of 54.3 points, with the typical over/under line being 52.6 points.

The Houston Cougars Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Houston will be looking to rebound from a 24-14 loss to Cincinnati in their most recent game. The Cougars fell behind early, trailing by -7 after the first quarter. During their most recent loss, quarterback Donovan Smith threw 28 passing attempts against Cincinnati. He concluded the game with 102 passing yards, completing 57.1% of his passes. Furthermore, he had three interceptions in the game.

Leading up to the game, Houston was favored to win by 3, handing them an ATS and straight-up defeat. The under ended up hitting as the line going into the game was 53.5.

The Houston Cougars take on the Oklahoma State with a 4-6 record, including 0-2 on the road and 2-3 at home.

Houston’s average scoring differential for the season is -6.7 leading to an ATS mark of 3-4. The Cougars have been favored one time and the underdog in six game So far this season, Houston boasts an over/under record of 2-5. On average, their matchups have resulted in a combined score of 54.9 points, while the average over/under line has been 56.5 points.

Oklahoma State Offense Breakdown

The Cowboys’ offense is set to face Houston while averaging 170 rushing yards per game and 5 yards per attempt. In the national rankings, they currently stand at 55th for rushing yards and 47th for passing yards, with an average of 251.6 yards per matchup. Overall, Oklahoma State is putting up 27.9 points per game, which is 55th nationally.

This season, Alan Bowman has thrown for 2139 yards while maintaining an average of 11.4 per completion. His completion percentage stands at 58%, and he’s recorded eight touchdowns.

Houston Offense Breakdown

Houston comes into the game with an offense averaging 24.1, which places them at 73rd in the NCAA rankings. Their passing game has them ranked 52nd nationally, with an average of 247 passing yards. In the rushing department, they’re 101st in the nation, with 300 rushing attempts per game for the season.

Leading the team in passing yards is Donovan Smith with 2404 yards. So far, he has completed 65.1% of his passes and is 2nd on the team in rushing yards. For the season, he has ran the ball 111 times for 342 yards.

Oklahoma State Team Defense

The Cowboys’ defense has given up 182.7 rushing yards per game this season, which is 70th. Opponents are recording an average of 255.4 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks come in with a passer rating of 98 when playing against Oklahoma State. In terms of points allowed, they currently sit 51st in NCAA rankings.

Houston Team Defense

The Houston defense, going into this week’s game, holds 124th place for points allowed, allowing 30.8 points per game. Opponents have been gaining an average of 246.3 passing yards each game against them (134th in the country). On the ground, they’re yielding 165.2 rushing yards, ranking them 116th in college football.

Oklahoma State vs Houston Trends

  • On the road, Oklahoma State has gone 5-5 vs. the spread.
  • At home, Houston has gone 1-2 against the spread (last three).
  • Looking back at the last five times Houston went into a game as the underdog, their ATS mark was 3-2.
  • Oklahoma State’s record vs. the spread in their five most recent games as the favorite is 2-3.

Oklahoma State vs Houston Prediction

I’m picking Oklahoma State to cover the spread at -7. I’m expecting the Oklahoma State rushing attack to exploit the deficiencies in Houston’s rush defense, which had trouble defending the run in their last game. For this matchup, I like Oklahoma State at -7.

I’m selecting the under as my pick, given the over/under line of 59.5. Heading into this matchup, games featuring Houston have had an average combined score of 54.9 points, and I believe this game will stay under 59.5.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.