NCAAF Old Dominion vs Georgia Southern Prediction 11/18/2023

The Old Dominion Monarchs (4-6) travel to face off against the Georgia Southern Eagles (6-4) on Saturday, November 18th. This game will be played at Allen E. Paulson Stadium in Statesboro and televised on ESPN+. Both Old Dominion and Georgia Southern will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00 ET.

Old Dominion Monarchs vs Georgia Southern Eagles

The Old Dominion Monarchs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Most recently, Old Dominion faced off against Liberty and lost by a score of 38-10. The Monarchs were able to cut into Liberty’s lead in the 4th, but still took the L. In the loss against Liberty, quarterback Grant Wilson wrapped up the game with a QB rating of 61.71 after completing 23 of 42 passes for 161 yards. He also added one touchdown to his performance.

Going into the game, Old Dominion was the 13.5-point underdogs and in addition to losing straight-up, they did not cover the spread. The team’s combined 48 points was not enough to surpass the over/under line of 61.

So far, the Old Dominion Monarchs are 4-6, including going 1-4 on the road and 3-2 at home.

Old Dominion’s average scoring differential for the season is -4.4 leading to an ATS mark of 6-4. The Monarchs have been favored two times and the underdog in eight games So far in this season, Old Dominion has posted an over/under record of 5-5. On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 50.4 points, with the typical over/under line set at 52.8 points.

The Georgia Southern Eagles Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Eagles are coming off a 38-33 loss to Marshall in what turned out to be a shootout between the teams. Against Marshall, Davis Brin threw for 307 yards on a completion percentage of 53.7%. In the loss, he threw three touchdowns and had a passer rating of 89.04.

Going into the game, the oddsmakers had this one as a pick em, giving Georgia Southern an ATS loss. The team’s combined 71 points surpassed the over/under line of 56.5.

The Georgia Southern Eagles take on the Old Dominion with a 6-4 record, including 1-4 on the road and 4-0 at home.

Against the spread, Georgia Southern has gone 4-4-1 this season. The Eagles have been favored four times compared to three games as the underdog. The average point total in Georgia Southern’s 10 games is currently 60.7 points per game. This has led to an over/under record of 4-4-1 for the Eagles.

Old Dominion Offense Breakdown

The Monarchs come into their matchup vs. Georgia Southern 42nd in college football at 371 rushing attempts per game. This has translated to an average of 156.3 rushing yards per game, placing them 69th nationally. Additionally, they’ve been airing it out 27.8 times each game, accumulating an average of 198.9 passing yards. In terms of scoring, they stand 79th, with 23 points per game.

So far this season, Grant Wilson has thrown for 1636 yards, averaging 12.3 per completion. His completion percentage is 57.8%, and he’s registered 14 touchdowns.

Georgia Southern Offense Breakdown

On offense, Georgia Southern comes into the game averaging 32.7, which is 31st in the NCAA. On average, they are averaging 306.7 passing yards (11th) compared to 94th in rushing yards. For the season, they are averaging 296 rushing attempts per contest.

This season, Davis Brin has been responsible for 2958 passing yards, maintaining an average of 10.3 per completion. He has a completion rate of 64.7%, having thrown 21 touchdowns.

Old Dominion Team Defense

Defensively, the Monarchs enter the game with 13 sacks and ranked 1st in QB hurries. They’ve allowed 27.4 points per game thus far this season (106th). In terms of pass defense, they’re 122nd in the NCAA, giving up 242.1 passing yards per game. Against the run, Old Dominion has allowed 155.9 rushing yards per contest thus far.

Georgia Southern Team Defense

The Eagles defense heads into this week’s matchup with 21 sacks and sitting 1st in QB hurries. So far, they’ve allowed 28 points per game (110th). In the pass defense department, they’re 122nd nationally, giving up 242.1 passing yards per game. Additionally, when it comes to defending the run, Georgia Southern’s defense is allowing 151.2 rushing yards per contest.

Old Dominion vs Georgia Southern Trends

  • On the road, Old Dominion has gone 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Looking across Georgia Southern’s ten most recent home games, they are 3-6-1 against the spread.
  • Georgia Southern is 3-6-1 in their last ten games as underdogs.
  • Old Dominion’s record vs. the spread in their five most recent games as the favorite is 1-4.

Old Dominion vs Georgia Southern Prediction

On the spread, I’m taking Old Dominion at +6.5. I’m expecting the Old Dominion rushing attack to take advantage of a Georgia Southern defense that struggled to defend the run in their most recent game. Lock in Old Dominion +6.5.

After crunching the numbers, our model is pointing to this game finishing with a combined 61 points. This projection has me feeling good about taking the over at 60.5.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.