Ole Miss Rebels vs LSU Tigers NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Ole Miss Rebels vs LSU Tigers Prediction 10/12/2024

The Ole Miss Rebels (5-1) face off against the LSU Tigers (4-1) on Saturday, October 12th. This game will be played at Tiger Stadium (LA) in Baton Rouge and televised on ABC. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 7:30 ET.

Ole Miss Rebels vs LSU Tigers

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Ole Miss Offense Breakdown

Ole Miss has been one of the top passing teams in the country heading into week 7, ranking second in passing yards per game with 372.8. They are also ninth in passing completions, averaging 22.8 per game, and they are ninth in scoring, putting up 44 points per game. Our power rankings have them as the 10th best offense in college football.

Jaxson Dart has thrown for 2,100 yards this season, completing 73.4% of his passes. He has 13 touchdowns and two interceptions, with a passer rating of 134. On the ground, Ole Miss is averaging 204.7 rushing yards per game. Henry Parrish Jr. leads the rushing attack with 570 yards, nine touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry. Tre Harris has 885 receiving yards on 52 catches.

LSU Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 7, LSU’s offense ranks 26th in points per game, scoring 35.2, but they are 8th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is strong, ranking 12th in passing yards per game with 337.8, and they are 6th in completions, averaging 28.6 per game. They also convert 51.7% of their third downs, ranking 9th nationally.

Garrett Nussmeier leads the Tigers with 1,656 passing yards, 15 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions, posting a passer rating of 111. LSU ranks 22nd in passer rating nationally. Caden Durham leads the rushing attack with 244 yards and 3 touchdowns, averaging 8 yards per carry. Aaron Anderson is the top receiver with 371 yards and two touchdowns.

Ole Miss Team Defense

Ole Miss’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking 3rd in the nation by allowing just 7.5 points per game. They are also 4th in the country in rushing yards allowed, giving up only 67.8 yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have managed a passer rating of just 72.7 against Ole Miss, completing 62.5% of their passes and averaging 203.8 passing yards per game.

In their recent 27-3 win over South Carolina, Ole Miss’s defense gave up just 3 points. They allowed 313 total yards, including 151 rushing yards on 43 attempts and 162 passing yards, while forcing one interception.

Ole Miss Team Defense

LSU’s defense is currently ranked 33rd in the nation, allowing 21.6 points per game. They are giving up 124.4 rushing yards per game, ranking 52nd, and 236 passing yards per game, with opposing quarterbacks completing 66.1% of their passes and posting a 94.8 passer rating.

In their recent game against South Alabama, LSU’s defense allowed just 10 points but gave up 453 total yards, including 292 passing yards. They also forced one interception in the game.

Ole Miss vs LSU Trends

  • Ole Miss has played well in their previous three road games, going 3-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 35 points per game while allowing 11. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
  • Across their ten previous home games, LSU has an ATS mark of 3-7. Their straight up record in these matchups was 4-6 while averaging 36 points per game.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the LSU Tigers have gone 5-4-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 4-6.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Ole Miss Rebels have a straight up record of 9-1 and an ATS mark of 6-2-2.

Rebels vs Tigers Prediction

Ole Miss comes into this game as the -3.5 point favorite on the road vs. LSU. Our projections have the Rebels winning by a score of 38-29, so we would recommend taking Ole Miss to cover the spread.

For the over/under, with the line set at 64.5 points, our model is projecting a combined score of 67 points, making the over the best play for this matchup.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.