Oregon Ducks vs Purdue Boilermakers NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Oregon Ducks vs Purdue Prediction 10/18/2024

The Oregon Ducks (6-0) face off against the Purdue Boilermakers (1-5) on Friday, October 18th. This game will be played at Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette and televised on FOX. Oregon is coming off a win in their previous game, while Purdue is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Illinois. Kickoff is set for 8:00 ET.

Oregon Ducks vs Purdue Boilermakers

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Oregon Offense Breakdown

Oregon’s offense ranks 24th in scoring, averaging 34.5 points per game, but they are 14th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 8. Dillon Gabriel has thrown for 1,790 yards and has a passer rating of 117. Oregon ranks 17th in passing yards per game, averaging 302, and they are 8th in completions, with 26.2 per game. They also lead the nation in completion percentage at 76.2%.

Gabriel has thrown 13 touchdowns and 3 interceptions this season. Jordan James leads the rushing attack with 667 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored six touchdowns. Oregon is 50th in rushing attempts and 64th in rushing yards, averaging 165.2 yards per game. Tez Johnson has 50 receptions for 470 yards and six touchdowns.

Purdue Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 8, Purdue’s offense ranks 94th in our power rankings, scoring 23.7 points per game. They are 71st in rushing, averaging 157.3 yards per game. Devin Mockobee leads the ground attack with 464 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored two touchdowns.

Quarterback Hudson Card has thrown for 738 yards, with seven touchdowns and four interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 88. Purdue ranks 105th in passing yards per game, averaging 183.8. They have converted only 33.3% of their third-down attempts this season.

Oregon Team Defense

Oregon’s defense, ranked 25th nationally, is giving up 19.3 points per game this season. They’re allowing 110.8 rushing yards per game (33rd) and 189.3 passing yards per game, ranking 44th. Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 72.8 against Oregon, completing 58.6% of their passes.

In their recent game against Ohio State, Oregon’s defense allowed 31 points and 469 total yards. Ohio State threw for 326 yards and ran the ball 32 times for 143 yards against the Ducks.

Oregon Team Defense

Purdue’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 39 points per game, including 50 points in their recent loss to Illinois. They gave up 556 total yards, with 379 yards through the air and three passing touchdowns.

Opponents have averaged 229.8 rushing yards per game against Purdue, with 42.2 rushing attempts per game. Purdue’s defense has faced the 17th fewest pass attempts in the country, but they’ve still allowed 225.7 passing yards per game.

Oregon vs Purdue Trends

  • Oregon has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 39 points per game while allowing 16. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, Purdue has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 25 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Purdue has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Oregon Ducks have a straight up record of 9-1. But, their mark vs the spread was just 4-6.

Ducks vs Boilermakers Prediction

Our pick for the over/under line of 58.5 points in this Oregon vs. Purdue matchup is to take the over, as we see this game finishing with a combined 64 points. Purdue is the heavy underdog at +27.5 points, but we expect them to keep it close enough to cover the spread, with Oregon winning 37-27.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.