Oregon Ducks vs Wisconsin Badgers NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Oregon Ducks vs Wisconsin Prediction 11/16/2024

The Oregon Ducks (10-0) face off against the Wisconsin Badgers (5-4) on Saturday, November 16th. This game will be played at Camp Randall Stadium in Madison and televised on NBC. Oregon is coming off a win in their previous game, while Wisconsin is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Iowa. Kickoff is set for 7:30 ET.

Oregon Ducks vs Wisconsin Badgers

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Oregon Offense Breakdown

Oregon’s offense has been strong this season, ranking 3rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12. They are also 19th in points per game, averaging 35.7. Dillon Gabriel has thrown for 2,848 yards, leading the nation with a 74.3% completion rate. Oregon ranks 9th in passing yards per game and 8th in completions.

Gabriel has 22 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, with a passer rating of 117. Oregon is 7th in third-down conversions, converting 50.4% of their attempts. On the ground, they average 170.9 rushing yards per game. Jordan James has 946 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns.

Wisconsin Offense Breakdown

Wisconsin’s offense has been centered around their rushing attack, ranking 37th in rushing attempts per game and averaging 173.9 yards on the ground. Tawee Walker leads the team with 676 rushing yards and has scored 10 touchdowns, averaging 4 yards per carry. Wisconsin is scoring 25.1 points per game, and they are ranked 77th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12.

Quarterback Braedyn Locke has thrown for 1,418 yards, with eight touchdowns and eight interceptions. He has a passer rating of 74, and Wisconsin ranks 114th in passer rating nationally. They are 90th in passing yards per game, averaging 204.7 yards.

Oregon Team Defense

Oregon’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking 12th in the nation by allowing just 16 points per game. They’ve given up 119.5 rushing yards per game on 29.7 attempts and 176.1 passing yards, holding opposing quarterbacks to a 66.5 passer rating, which is the 12th-lowest in the country.

In their recent game against Maryland, Oregon’s defense allowed 18 points and 291 total yards. Maryland rushed 30 times for just 85 yards, while Oregon’s secondary gave up 206 passing yards but also came away with two interceptions.

Oregon Team Defense

Wisconsin’s defense, ranked 30th nationally, is allowing 21.4 points per game this season. They’ve given up 165.3 rushing yards per game, ranking 113th, and 158.9 passing yards per game, which is the 12th-lowest in the country. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 59.4% of their passes and have a passer rating of 86.5 against Wisconsin.

In their recent game against Iowa, Wisconsin’s defense allowed 42 points despite giving up just 265 total yards. Iowa rushed 31 times for 80 yards, while Wisconsin’s secondary allowed 185 passing yards but also came away with two interceptions.

Oregon vs Wisconsin Trends

  • The Oregon Ducks are 3-2 ATS in their last road games and 4-1 straight-up.
  • In their last five home games, Wisconsin has averaged 25 points per game while allowing 25. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 3-2.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Wisconsin Badgers have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
  • Oregon has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last five games.

Ducks vs Badgers Prediction

Our projections have Oregon winning this week 12 matchup against Wisconsin by a score of 32-20. Even though Wisconsin is the +14.5 point underdogs, we like their chances to cover the spread.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 52.5 points, we see the total points finishing right at that number, making the under the best play for this game.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.