penn state vs michigan ncaaf prediction

NCAAF Penn State vs Michigan State Prediction 11/24/2023

The Penn State Nittany Lions (9-2) travel to face off against the Michigan State Spartans (4-7) on Friday, November 24th. This game will be played at Ford Field in Detroit and televised on NBC. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 7:30 ET.

Penn State Nittany Lions vs Michigan State Spartans

The Penn State Nittany Lions Are Coming Off A Win

Penn State most recently took down Rutgers by a score of 27-6. The Nittany Lions went into the 4th quarter of this game leading by 10. Drew Allar finished with 79 yards against Rutgers while going 6 for 13 for a completion percentage of 46.2%. He ended the game without a rushing or passing touchdown.

With an over/under line of 40.5 going into the game, the teams fell short of that number with 33 points. Penn State covered the spread as 20-point favorites.

This season, the Penn State Nittany Lions are currently 9-2. So far this season, they have played four road games and six at home.

Against the spread, Penn State has gone 7-3 this season. The Nittany Lions have been favored eight times compared to two games as the underdog. After 11 games, the average over/under line in Penn State’s matches stands at 46.4 points. The collective score in their games has averaged 49.2 points, resulting in an OU record of 5-5.

The Michigan State Spartans Are Coming Off A Win

Even though Michigan State trailed by seven heading into the 4th quarter, they still managed to come back and take down Indiana by a score of 24-21. Quarterback Katin Houser threw for three touchdowns in Michigan State’s win over Indiana. Overall, he had a passer rating of 83.89 while completing 63.4% of his passes for 245 yards.

Combining for 45 points, the under hit in this matchup with a line of 47. Michigan State covered the spread, as they were 3.5-point underdogs going into the game.

This season, the Michigan State Spartans are currently 4-7. So far this season, they have played five road games and five at home.

Michigan State’s average scoring differential for the season is -9.7 leading to an ATS mark of 4-5-1. The Spartans have been favored one time and the underdog in nine game This season, Michigan State has posted an over/under record of 4-6 through 11 games. On average their games have combined for 44.5 points.

Penn State Offense Breakdown

On offense, Penn State comes into the game averaging 36.7, which is 14th in the NCAA. On average, they are averaging 195.4 passing yards (98th) compared to 36th in rushing yards. For the season, they are averaging 445 rushing attempts per contest.

This season, Drew Allar has thrown for a total of 2044 yards while maintaining an average of 10.4 yards per completion. His completion percentage is 61%, and he’s recorded 21 touchdowns.

Michigan State Offense Breakdown

On offense, Michigan State comes into the game averaging 17.4, which is 100th in the NCAA. On average, they are averaging 207.1 passing yards (86th) compared to 118th in rushing yards. For the season, they are averaging 342 rushing attempts per contest.

The top passer for Michigan State is Noah Kim, who has accumulated 1090 passing yards and boasts a completion rate of 56.5%. He’s currently averaging 6.8 yards per passing attempt.

Penn State Team Defense

So far this season, the Nittany Lions’ defense has given up 79.7 rushing yards per game against the run (204th). Opponents are averaging 159.5 passing yards and opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 67.5 against Penn State. In terms of points allowed, they are 106th in the NCAA.

Michigan State Team Defense

Michigan State’s defense holds the 106th rank in passing yards allowed per game as they head into this game. On average, opponents have made 30.7 passing attempts against the Spartans. They have given up 27.1 points per game, which places them at 109th in college football. In the rush defense category, they rank 67th in the NCAA.

Penn State vs Michigan State Trends

  • Looking at Penn State’s ten most recent road games, they have put together a record vs. the spread of 8-2.
  • At home, Michigan State has gone 4-4-2 against the spread (last ten).
  • In the five most recent times they were the underdog, Michigan State has put together an ATS record of 2-3.
  • Over their last three games as the betting favorite, Penn State has an ATS record of 2-1.

Penn State vs Michigan State Prediction

Penn State is my choice to come out on top and cover the spread in this game. They come in with a stronger passing game than Michigan State, which gives them the edge. I’m going with Penn State at -20 for this game.

Games featuring Penn State this season have averaged 49.2 points in total. Considering the over/under line at 42.5, I’m backing the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.