Penn State Nittany Lions vs Purdue Boilermakers NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Penn State vs Purdue Prediction 11/16/2024

The Penn State Nittany Lions (8-1) face off against the Purdue Boilermakers (1-8) on Saturday, November 16th. This game will be played at Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette and televised on CBS. Penn State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Purdue is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Ohio State. Kickoff is set for 3:30 ET.

Penn State Nittany Lions vs Purdue Boilermakers

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Penn State Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 12, Penn State’s offense is averaging 31.2 points per game, placing them 36th in the nation. However, they rank 10th in our offensive power rankings. Their run game is producing 197.8 yards per game on 37.4 attempts.

Kaytron Allen leads the team with 634 rushing yards, five touchdowns, and an average of 4 yards per carry. Drew Allar has thrown for 2,006 yards, 13 touchdowns, and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 110.

Purdue Offense Breakdown

Purdue’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 18 points per game, which ranks them 92nd in the nation heading into week 12. They are 102nd in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is producing 177.1 yards per game, placing them 112th nationally, and they convert only 33% of their third-down attempts.

Hudson Card leads Purdue’s passing attack with 1,113 yards, eight touchdowns, and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 83. The team is 81st in passing attempts per game. On the ground, they average 144.1 rushing yards per game. Devin Mockobee has rushed for 612 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry.

Penn State Team Defense

Penn State’s defense has been strong this season, ranking 6th nationally by allowing just 14 points per game. They are also 15th in the country in rushing yards allowed, giving up only 103.3 yards per game on the ground. Opposing quarterbacks have managed a passer rating of just 72.9 against Penn State, completing 57.2% of their passes for 169.2 yards per game.

In their latest game, Penn State’s defense gave up only 6 points and 193 total yards against Washington. They held Washington to 74 rushing yards on 33 attempts and 119 passing yards, while also forcing an interception.

Penn State Team Defense

Purdue’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 37.8 points per game, including 45 points in their recent loss to Ohio State. In that game, they gave up 433 total yards, with 260 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air.

Opponents have averaged 201 rushing yards per game against Purdue, ranking them 153rd nationally. The defense has faced the 29th fewest passing attempts in the country but has still allowed 245.1 passing yards per game, with a 64.1% completion rate and a 103.9 passer rating.

Penn State vs Purdue Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Penn State has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 37 per game. The team went 5-0 overall in these games.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Purdue Boilermakers offense has averaged 17 points per game while allowing an average of 36. Purdue posted an overall record of 1-9 while going 3-7 ATS.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Purdue Boilermakers have a straight up record of 1-9. But, their mark vs the spread was just 3-7.
  • Although the Penn State Nittany Lions have a strong straight up record in their last five games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 2-3.

Nittany Lions vs Boilermakers Prediction

Our projections have Penn State winning this matchup 39-6 over Purdue, making Penn State the -28.5 point favorite on the road. With these numbers, we would take Penn State to cover the spread.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 50.5 points, our model suggests taking the under, as the combined score is projected at 45 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.