Purdue Boilermakers vs Illinois Fighting Illini NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Purdue Boilermakers vs Illinois Prediction 10/12/2024

The Purdue Boilermakers (1-4) face off against the Illinois Fighting Illini (4-1) on Saturday, October 12th. This game will be played at Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) in Champaign and televised on FS1. Both Purdue and Illinois will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 ET.

Purdue Boilermakers vs Illinois Fighting Illini

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Purdue Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 7, Purdue’s offense has struggled, averaging just 18.6 points per game, placing them 124th in our offensive power rankings. Their third-down conversion rate is low at 30.5%, and they rank 118th in passing yards, averaging 161.2 yards per game. Hudson Card, the quarterback, has thrown for 738 yards with a passer rating of 88.

Card has completed 63.4% of his passes, with seven touchdowns and four interceptions. Purdue ranks 57th in passing completions, averaging 15.6 per game. On the ground, they average 141 rushing yards per game. Devin Mockobee leads the rushing attack with 362 yards and averages 6 yards per carry.

Illinois Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 7, Illinois’ offense ranks 52nd in our offensive power rankings, averaging 27.2 points per game, which places them 58th nationally. Luke Altmyer has been efficient at quarterback, completing 70% of his passes for 1,047 yards and 11 touchdowns, with just one interception. He has a passer rating of 118, and Illinois ranks 16th in passer rating and 17th in completion percentage.

Pat Bryant leads the receiving corps with 342 yards and six touchdowns on 22 catches. Illinois is 44th in passing completions, averaging 18.6 per game, but 88th in passing yards, with 215.2 yards per game. On the ground, they average 132.8 rushing yards per game. Kaden Feagin has rushed for 306 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 4 yards per carry.

Purdue Team Defense

Purdue’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 36.8 points per game. In their recent game against Wisconsin, they gave up 52 points, including 589 total yards, with 361 passing yards and three passing touchdowns. However, they did manage to force two interceptions.

Opponents have averaged 240.4 rushing yards per game against Purdue, ranking them 173rd nationally. Despite facing the 13th fewest passing attempts in the country, Purdue has allowed a passer rating of 94.3 and 195 passing yards per game.

Purdue Team Defense

Illinois’ defense has been a bright spot this season, ranking 11th nationally by allowing just 14.2 points per game. They’ve given up an average of 177.4 passing yards per game, which ranks 36th, and quarterbacks have a passer rating of 68.1 against them, the 20th-lowest in the country. On the ground, Illinois is allowing 133.6 rushing yards per game.

In their recent game against Penn State, Illinois’ defense allowed 21 points. They gave up 237 passing yards and 87 rushing yards on 29 attempts. Penn State recorded 18 first downs in the game.

Purdue vs Illinois Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, Purdue has an ATS record of 4-6 while averaging 19 per game. The team went 3-7 overall in these games.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Illinois Fighting Illini have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 8-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 23 points per game in this stretch.
  • Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Purdue Boilermakers have a straight up record of 0-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 0-3.
  • Through their previous five contests as the betting favorite, the Illinois Fighting Illini have a strong record of 3-2. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 1-4.

Boilermakers vs Fighting Illini Prediction

With Illinois coming in as -19.5 point favorites, our pick is to take Purdue to cover the spread in this matchup. We have Illinois winning straight-up by a score of 28-20, but Purdue should be able to keep it close enough to cover.

The over/under line is set at 49.5 points, and with our projected score being 48 points, the under looks like the best play for this line.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.