Purdue Boilermakers vs Ohio State Buckeyes NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Purdue Boilermakers vs Ohio State Prediction 11/9/2024

The Purdue Boilermakers (1-7) face off against the Ohio State Buckeyes (7-1) on Saturday, November 9th. This game will be played at Ohio Stadium in Columbus and televised on FOX. Ohio State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Purdue is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Northwestern. Kickoff is set for 12:00 ET.

Purdue Boilermakers vs Ohio State Buckeyes

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Purdue Offense Breakdown

Purdue’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 20.2 points per game, which ranks them 91st in the nation. They are also 103rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11. Their third-down conversion rate is low at 35.1%, and they are 111th in passing yards, averaging 185.8 yards per game. On the ground, they average 149.9 rushing yards per game.

Hudson Card leads Purdue’s passing attack with 1,005 yards and a passer rating of 88. He has completed 61.7% of his passes, throwing eight touchdowns and four interceptions. Devin Mockobee is the team’s leading rusher with 539 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Jahmal Edrine has 215 receiving yards and two touchdowns.

Ohio State Offense Breakdown

Ohio State’s offense is averaging 37.8 points per game, ranking 14th in the nation, and they are 6th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11. Will Howard has thrown for 1,977 yards, completing 73.2% of his passes, with 19 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Ohio State ranks 3rd in completion percentage and 4th in passer rating.

They are 42nd in passing yards per game, averaging 271.1 yards, and they are 34th in third-down conversions, converting 44.2% of their attempts. On the ground, they average 188.8 rushing yards per game. Quinshon Judkins leads the rushing attack with 615 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored 6 touchdowns. Jeremiah Smith has 678 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns.

Purdue Team Defense

Purdue’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 36.9 points per game. In their recent game against Northwestern, they gave up 26 points, including 302 passing yards, though they did manage to force an interception.

Opponents have averaged 243.2 passing yards per game against Purdue, completing 63.6% of their passes. On the ground, Purdue has allowed 204.5 rushing yards per game, ranking 156th nationally.

Purdue Team Defense

Ohio State’s defense has been a strong point this season, ranking third nationally by allowing just 12 points per game. In their recent matchup against Penn State, they gave up only 13 points, allowing 270 total yards, including 120 rushing yards on 32 attempts and 150 passing yards, while also forcing an interception.

Opponents are averaging 100.2 rushing yards per game against Ohio State, ranking the Buckeyes 13th in the nation. Through the air, they’ve allowed 161.5 passing yards per game, with quarterbacks completing 63.3% of their passes and posting a passer rating of 73.7.

Purdue vs Ohio State Trends

  • Through their last five road contests, the Purdue Boilermakers offense has averaged 20 points per game while allowing an average of 40. Purdue posted an overall record of 0-5 while going 2-3 ATS.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Ohio State Buckeyes have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 4-4-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 29 points per game in these contests.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Purdue has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Ohio State has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 8-2 straight up.

Boilermakers vs Buckeyes Prediction

Our projection for this week 11 college football matchup between Purdue and Ohio State is a final score of 46-7 in favor of Ohio State. With Ohio State being -37.5 point favorites, we expect them to cover the spread.

For the over/under, with the line set at 53.5 points, we are leaning slightly towards the under, as our projection has the combined score right at 53 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.