Purdue Boilermakers vs Wisconsin Badgers NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Purdue Boilermakers vs Wisconsin Prediction 10/5/2024

The Purdue Boilermakers (1-3) face off against the Wisconsin Badgers (2-2) on Saturday, October 5th. This game will be played at Camp Randall Stadium in Madison and televised on BTN. Both Purdue and Wisconsin will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 ET.

Purdue Boilermakers vs Wisconsin Badgers

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Purdue Offense Breakdown

Purdue’s offense has been underwhelming this season, averaging just 21.8 points per game, which ranks 123rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6. Their passing game has struggled, producing only 172.2 yards per game, placing them 112th nationally. They have converted just 35.4% of their third-down attempts.

Hudson Card, Purdue’s quarterback, has thrown for 627 yards with a passer rating of 93. He has seven touchdown passes but has also thrown four interceptions. Devin Mockobee leads the rushing attack with 317 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, but has only one rushing touchdown. Jaron Tibbs, the leading receiver, has 79 yards and one touchdown.

Wisconsin Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 6, Wisconsin’s offense has been underwhelming, ranking 90th in our offensive power rankings and averaging just 21.5 points per game. Their rushing game is their strength, with 38.2 attempts per game, but they are only 87th in rushing yards, averaging 155.5 per game.

Chez Mellusi leads the ground attack with 232 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 4 yards per carry. Tyler Van Dyke has thrown for 422 yards, and Wisconsin ranks 108th in passing yards per game. Van Dyke has one touchdown pass and no interceptions, with a passer rating of 85.

Purdue Team Defense

In their recent game against Nebraska, Purdue’s defense allowed 28 points, giving up 405 total yards, including 244 passing yards and 161 rushing yards. Nebraska also picked up 25 first downs against Purdue’s defense.

So far this season, Purdue’s defense is ranked 171st in the country, allowing 243.5 rushing yards per game. Opponents have averaged 153.5 passing yards per game, which ranks Purdue 19th nationally.

Purdue Team Defense

Wisconsin’s defense has allowed an average of 26.8 points per game this season, including 38 points in their recent loss to USC. They gave up 471 total yards, with 308 yards and three touchdowns coming through the air, though they did manage to force one interception.

Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 93.5 against Wisconsin, completing 63.7% of their throws. The Badgers are giving up 197.2 passing yards per game and 147.2 rushing yards per contest.

Purdue vs Wisconsin Trends

  • Through their last three road contests, the Purdue Boilermakers offense has averaged 16 points per game while allowing an average of 34. Purdue posted an overall record of 0-3 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Wisconsin has an ATS record of 5-5 while averaging 22 per game. The team went 5-5 overall in these games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Purdue Boilermakers have a straight up record of 1-9. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-8.
  • The last ten games that Wisconsin was favored, they have an ATS mark of 4-5-1 while going 7-3 straight up.

Boilermakers vs Badgers Prediction

Our projections have Wisconsin winning their week six matchup against Purdue by a score of 23-17. This would make Purdue the best bet to cover the +14 point spread as the road underdog.

For the over/under, with the line set at 47 points, we recommend taking the under, as our combined score projection of 40 points suggests there may not be enough points to reach this total.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.