Purdue vs Northwestern

NCAAF: Purdue vs. Northwestern Prediction 11/18/2023

The Purdue Boilermakers (3-7) travel to face off against the Northwestern Wildcats (5-5) on Saturday, November 18th. This game will be played at Ryan Field in Evanston and televised on BTN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 12:00 ET.

Purdue Boilermakers vs Northwestern Wildcats

The Purdue Boilermakers Are Coming Off A Win

In their previous game, Purdue faced off against Minnesota and picked up a 49-30 win. In Purdue’s win over Minnesota, quarterback Hudson Card had three touchdowns through the air and added one touchdown on the ground. Throughout the game, he threw for a total of 251 yards while achieving a completion rate of 68.0%.

On the betting lines, the over/under was 47.5, resulting in a hit for the over. Purdue not only won but covered as they were the betting underdogs at +2.5.

So far, the Purdue Boilermakers are 3-7, including going 1-3 on the road and 2-4 at home.

Against the spread, Purdue has gone 4-6 this season. The Boilermakers have been favored one time compared to six games as the underdog. So far in this season, Purdue has posted an over/under record of 6-4. On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 54.8 points, with the typical over/under line set at 49.1 points.

The Northwestern Wildcats Are Coming Off A Win

The Wildcats’ most recent game came against Wisconsin and led to them picking up a 24-10 win. In Northwestern’s recent win, quarterback Ben Bryant not only tossed two touchdowns but also rushed for one touchdown. Throughout the game, he threw for a total of 195 yards while achieving a completion rate of 69.2%.

Combining for 34 points, the under hit in this matchup with a line of 43.5. Northwestern covered the spread, as they were 10.5-point underdogs going into the game.

This season, the Northwestern Wildcats are currently 5-5. So far this season, they have played four road games and four at home.

So far, Northwestern has been favored one time and the underdog in seven games. This has led to an ATS record of 5-3 and an average scoring differential of -2.3. Northwestern has put together an over/under record of 4-4 throughout this season. The average combined score in their games has been 43.3 points, and the standard over/under line has stood at 41.8 points.

Purdue Offense Breakdown

Purdue comes into the game with an offense averaging 23.7, which places them at 76th in the NCAA rankings. Their passing game has them ranked 82nd nationally, with an average of 211.9 passing yards. In the rushing department, they’re 73rd in the nation, with 361 rushing attempts per game for the season.

The top passer for Purdue is Hudson Card, who has accumulated 2112 passing yards and boasts a completion rate of 58.6%. He’s currently averaging 6.4 yards per passing attempt.

Northwestern Offense Breakdown

On offense, Northwestern comes into the game averaging 20.5, which is 89th in the NCAA. On average, they are averaging 193.7 passing yards (103rd) compared to 113th in rushing yards. For the season, they are averaging 348 rushing attempts per contest.

Ben Bryant is the team’s leading passer this season, racking up 1121 yards while averaging 9.9 per completion. His completion rate for the year stands at 60.4%, with eight touchdowns.

Purdue Team Defense

Defensively, the Boilermakers defense has come up with 28 sacks this season and are 1st in quarterback hurries. Overall, they are allowing 31.1 points per contest (125th). Against the pass, they are 130th in the NCAA, having allowed 244.2 passing yards allowed per game. Purdue is giving up 146.5 rushing yards per contest.

Northwestern Team Defense

Coming into this week’s game, the Northwestern defense is 82nd in points allowed at 22.8 points per game. So far, team’s have averaged 181.7 passing yards per game vs. the unit (32nd). On the ground, they are giving up 151.4 rushing yards, putting them 92nd in college football.

Purdue vs Northwestern Trends

  • When playing on the road, Purdue has an ATS mark of 6-4 vs. the spread.
  • Northwestern’s ATS record at home (last three) is 2-1.
  • The Wildcats are 3-0 in their last three games as underdogs.
  • Purdue are 1-4 in their last five games as favorites.

Purdue vs Northwestern Prediction

So far this season, Purdue’s defense has finished with more tackles for losses than their opponents three of their 10 games. Look for their advantage up-front to continue and Purdue should go on to cover the spread in this one.

So far this season, Purdue’s games have combined for 54.8 points. With the over/under line sitting at 46.5, I’m taking the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.