The TCU Horned Frogs (5-6) travel to face off against the Oklahoma Sooners (9-2) on Friday, November 24th. This game will be played at Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) in Norman and televised on FOX. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 12:00 ET.
TCU Horned Frogs vs Oklahoma Sooners
The TCU Horned Frogs Are Coming Off A Win
TCU most recently faced off against Baylor and came away with a 42-17 win. The Horned Frogs were able to pull out the win, despite falling behind early and trailing 7-0 after the first quarter. With Josh Hoover leading the way, he recorded a passer rating of 141.74 by accumulating 412 passing yards against Baylor. During the game, he made 29 passing attempts and completed 82.8% of them.
TCU was favored by 14 heading into the game, giving them both a straight-up and ATS win. The under hit in the game, as the team’s combined for 59 with an over/under line of 61.
So far, the TCU Horned Frogs are 5-6, including going 1-3 on the road and 3-3 at home.
Against the spread, TCU has gone 5-5 this season. The Horned Frogs have been favored seven times compared to three games as the underdog. This season, TCU has an over/under record of 3-6-1. Their games have, on average, produced a combined total of 54.2 points, with the typical over/under line being 58.2 points.
The Oklahoma Sooners Are Coming Off A Win
The Sooners are coming a 31-24 win over BYU, heading into their matchup vs. TCU. Quarterback Dillon Gabriel threw for two touchdowns in Oklahoma’s win over BYU. Overall, he had a passer rating of 123.31 while completing 61.9% of his passes for 191 yards.
Despite winning straight-up, Oklahoma did not cover the spread as pre-game 25.5 point favorites. The teams fell short of the over/under line of 58 points.
So far, the Oklahoma Sooners are 9-2, including going 3-2 on the road and 6-0 at home.
So far, Oklahoma has been favored 10 times and the underdog in one game. This has led to an ATS record of 7-4 and an average scoring differential of +20.6. Oklahoma has put together an over/under record of 6-5 throughout this season. The average combined score in their games has been 61 points, and the standard over/under line has stood at 60.7 points.
TCU Offense Breakdown
TCU comes into the game with an offense averaging 30.1, which places them at 43rd in the NCAA rankings. Their passing game has them ranked 9th nationally, with an average of 309.3 passing yards. In the rushing department, they’re 76th in the nation, with 376 rushing attempts per game for the season.
The top passer for TCU is Josh Hoover, who has accumulated 1862 passing yards and boasts a completion rate of 63.8%. He’s currently averaging 7.8 yards per passing attempt.
Oklahoma Offense Breakdown
Oklahoma enters the game on offense with an average of 40.8, ranking them 4th in the NCAA. Their passing game has them at 7th in the nation, with an average of 314.7 passing yards per game. On the ground, they’re at 35th in rushing yards, with an average of 438 rushing attempts per game this season.
With 3260 passing yards under his belt, Dillon Gabriel leads the team through the air. He’s also 3rd on the team in rushing yards. This season, he’s contributed on the ground with 86 carries and 337 rushing yards, all while maintaining a completion rate of 69.9%.
TCU Team Defense
TCU’s defense sits at 91st for points allowed, allowing 24.1 points per game. So far, teams have been averaging 240.4 passing yards per game against them (126th nationally). On the ground, they’re yielding 150.5 rushing yards, ranking them 84th in college football.
Oklahoma Team Defense
Oklahoma’s defense ranks 75th in points allowed, with 20.2 points given up per game. Teams have been averaging 232.9 passing yards against them (108th nationally). On the ground, they’ve conceded 145.7 rushing yards, putting them 73rd in college football.
TCU vs Oklahoma Trends
- When playing on the road, TCU has an ATS mark of 1-4 vs. the spread.
- Oklahoma’s ATS record at home (last three) is 0-3.
- Oklahoma is 2-1 in their last three games as underdogs.
- TCU are 2-1 in their last three games as favorites.
Oklahoma has had some turnover problems in their passing game this year. I’m going with TCU as the away underdogs to cover the spread at +11.5.
On the over/under, I have the best bet being to take the over at 63. This looks like a slam dunk bet for me, as my gut tells me the over will hit as well as our model projecting a combined 65 points.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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