The TCU Horned Frogs (5-3) face off against the Baylor Bears (4-4) on Saturday, November 2nd. This game will be played at McLane Stadium in Waco and televised on ESPN2. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 8:00 ET.

TCU Horned Frogs vs Baylor Bears

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TCU Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 10, TCU’s offense ranks 31st in points per game, averaging 32.5, and they are 44th in our offensive power rankings. Their strength lies in the passing game, where they rank 5th nationally with 333 yards per game. They are 10th in passing attempts, averaging 39.6 per game, and 5th in completions, with 26.5 per game. Their third-down conversion rate is 43.3%, and they are 27th in passer rating.

Josh Hoover leads the TCU offense with 2,614 passing yards and a passer rating of 102. He has completed 66.3% of his passes, throwing 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Jack Bech, the leading receiver, has 825 yards and 7 touchdowns on 46 catches. TCU’s run game has struggled, ranking 113th with 107.2 rushing yards per game. Cam Cook leads the team with 368 rushing yards and six touchdowns.

Baylor Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 10, Baylor’s offense is averaging 33.1 points per game, placing them 28th nationally. They are ranked 45th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Sawyer Robertson has thrown for 1,541 yards, completing 60.1% of his passes, and has 17 touchdowns to 4 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 106.

Baylor is 40th in rushing attempts per game, averaging 176.2 yards on the ground. Bryson Washington leads the team with 380 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored three touchdowns. Josh Cameron has caught seven touchdown passes and has 365 receiving yards on 25 receptions.

TCU Team Defense

TCU’s defense has allowed an average of 28.2 points per game this season, including 34 points in their latest matchup against Texas Tech. They gave up 438 total yards, with 180 rushing yards on 50 attempts and 258 yards through the air.

Opponents have averaged 168.8 rushing yards per game against TCU, ranking them 116th nationally. Through the air, TCU has allowed just 173.8 passing yards per game, which ranks 24th in the country.

TCU Team Defense

Heading into this week, Baylor’s defense is allowing 25.9 points per game. They rank 81st nationally in passing yards allowed, giving up 215.8 yards per game, but they’ve held opposing quarterbacks to a 54.6% completion rate, which ranks 19th in the country. On the ground, they’re allowing 151 rushing yards per game.

In their recent game against Oklahoma State, Baylor’s defense gave up 28 points but held the Cowboys to just 74 rushing yards on 34 attempts. Oklahoma State did manage to throw for 359 yards, but Baylor’s defense also came up with an interception.

TCU vs Baylor Trends

• TCU has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 31 points per game while allowing 33. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
• Through their last ten home contests, the Baylor Bears offense has averaged 27 points per game while allowing an average of 37. Baylor posted an overall record of 3-7 while going 4-6 ATS.
• Through their last three games as the underdog, the TCU Horned Frogs have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.
• Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Baylor has an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 5-5 straight up.

Horned Frogs vs Bears Prediction

We have Baylor winning this matchup 32-26 over TCU, and with Baylor being -3 point favorites, we like their chances to cover the spread. For an over/under pick, we would lean towards the under, as our projection has the total points at 58, and the current line is 64.5 points.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.