TCU Horned Frogs vs. SMU Mustangs NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF TCU Horned Frogs vs SMU Mustangs Prediction 9/21/2024

The TCU Horned Frogs (2-1) face off against the SMU Mustangs (2-1) on Saturday, September 21st. This game will be played at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas and televised on CW. Both TCU and SMU will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:00 ET.

TCU Horned Frogs vs SMU Mustangs

 

TCU Offense Breakdown

TCU’s offense, led by quarterback Josh Hoover, put up 464 total yards in their 35-34 loss to UCF. Hoover threw for 402 yards, completing 67.3% of his passes and tossing four touchdowns. Jack Bech was his primary target, hauling in nine receptions for 200 yards and a touchdown.

The Horned Frogs’ offense moved the chains 26 times but struggled to establish the run, gaining just 62 yards on 16 carries. Cam Cook led the team in rushing with 35 yards on 11 attempts.

SMU Offense Breakdown

SMU’s offense, led by quarterback Kevin Jennings, struggled in their most recent game, resulting in an 18-15 loss. Jennings completed 15 of 32 passes for 140 yards, while throwing one interception. His passer rating for the game was 46.35.

The Mustangs’ offense managed to gain 261 total yards, with 144 yards coming through the air. Key’Shawn Smith was the leading receiver, with four catches for 46 yards. On the ground, SMU rushed for 117 yards, with Brashard Smith leading the way with 75 yards on 14 carries.

TCU Team Defense

TCU’s defense will need to tighten up after giving up 519 yards and 35 points in their most recent game. UCF’s offense was able to move the ball at will, with TCU’s defense allowing 230 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air. On the ground, the Horned Frogs gave up 289 yards and two rushing touchdowns. UCF converted 30 first downs, controlling the game with their balanced attack.

TCU Team Defense

SMU’s defense will need to tighten up after giving up 475 total yards and 318 passing yards in their most recent game. BYU’s passing attack connected on 25 of 39 attempts for three touchdowns, while SMU’s secondary managed to come up with one interception. The Mustangs also struggled to contain the run, allowing 157 yards on the ground.

TCU vs SMU Trends

  • In their last five games away from home, the TCU Horned Frogs have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 0-5 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 24 points per game in these contests.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, SMU has an ATS record of 1-4 while averaging 28 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • The last ten games that SMU was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 2-8 straight up.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the TCU Horned Frogs have a straight up record of 4-1, while going 2-3 against the spread.

Horned Frogs vs Mustangs Prediction

SMU is the +2.5 point underdog at home in their week four matchup against TCU. We have SMU winning this game straight-up with a final score of 33-31, so they are a great bet to cover the spread.

With the over/under line sitting at 57.5 points, our projections have these teams combining for 64 points, making the over the best bet for this matchup.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.