texas a&m vs LSU ncaaf prediction

NCAAF Texas A&M Aggies vs LSU Tigers Prediction 11/25/2023

The Texas A&M Aggies (7-4) travel to face off against the LSU Tigers (8-3) on Saturday, November 25th. This game will be played at Tiger Stadium (LA) in Baton Rouge and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 12:00 ET.

Texas A&M Aggies vs LSU Tigers

The Texas A&M Aggies Are Coming Off A Win

Texas A&M’s most recent game ended in a 38-10 win over Abilene Christian. This week, the Aggies will once again look to get off to a strong start, as they took a 10-point leading into halftime vs. Abilene Christian. Against Abilene Christian, Jaylen Henderson threw for 260 yards on a completion percentage of 69.6%. In the win, he threw two touchdowns and had a passer rating of 118.03.


This season, the Texas A&M Aggies are currently 7-4. So far this season, they have played four road games and six at home.

Heading into this week’s matchup with LSU, the Aggies have been favored in seven games and the underdog in three. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 5-4-1. Across 11 games, the average over/under line in Texas A&M’s matchups is 50 points. These games have seen an average combined score of 54 points, resulting in an OU record of 6-4.

The LSU Tigers Are Coming Off A Win

LSU is hoping to cruise to another easy win, as in their most recent game they took down Georgia State by a score of 56-14. In LSU’s win over Georgia State, quarterback Jayden Daniels had six touchdowns through the air and added two touchdowns on the ground. Throughout the game, he threw for a total of 413 yards while achieving a completion rate of 83.3%.

The over/under line going into the game was 74.5 points, which the teams fell short of. LSU picked up an ATS win as they were favored by 33.

So far, the LSU Tigers are 8-3, including going 2-3 on the road and 5-0 at home.

Against the spread, LSU has gone 6-4 this season. The Tigers have been favored nine times compared to one game as the underdog. This season, LSU has posted an over/under record of 9-1 through 11 games. On average their games have combined for 74.4 points.

Texas A&M Offense Breakdown

The Aggies’ offense is gearing up to take on LSU, with an average of 145.7 rushing yards per game and an 4 yards per attempt. In the college football rankings, they are currently in 86th place for rushing yards and 43rd place for passing yards, accumulating an average of 259.5 yards per contest. Texas A&M’s overall scoring average is at 34.5 points per game, placing them 20th rank nationally.

So far, Max Johnson has accumulated 1452 passing yards while averaging 12.3 per completion. His completion rate for the year is 62.1%, and he’s tossed nine touchdowns.

LSU Offense Breakdown

LSU comes into the game with an offense averaging 46.8, which places them at 1st in the NCAA rankings. Their passing game has them ranked 4th nationally, with an average of 343.4 passing yards. In the rushing department, they’re 7th in the nation, with 374 rushing attempts per game for the season.

The team’s leading passer is Jayden Daniels, who has tallied 3578 passing yards with a completion percentage of 72.6%. He’s currently averaging 11.8 yards per pass attempt.

Texas A&M Team Defense

The Aggies defense heads into this week’s matchup with 40 sacks and sitting 1st in QB hurries. So far, they’ve allowed 19.5 points per game (72nd). In the pass defense department, they’re 34th nationally, giving up 184.1 passing yards per game. Additionally, when it comes to defending the run, Texas A&M’s defense is allowing 102.8 rushing yards per contest.

LSU Team Defense

The Tigers defense comes into the game with 22 sacks, and ranked 1st in QB hurries. In terms of points allowed, they are giving up 27.5 points per game (113th). When it comes to defending the pass, they are ranked 130th in the NCAA, allowing an average of 241.4 passing yards per game. Additionally, LSU’s run defense comes in allowing 171.3 rushing yards per contest.

Texas A&M vs LSU Trends

  • When playing on the road, Texas A&M has an ATS mark of 1-1-1 vs. the spread.
  • LSU is 1-2 ATS in their last home games.
  • LSU’s ATS record in their three most recent games as an underdog is 1-2.
  • When favored, Texas A&M has gone 5-5 vs. the spread (last 10).

Texas A&M vs LSU Prediction

Texas A&M’s secondary did a good job limiting Georgia State’s passing game in their previous game. Despite being 10.5-point underdogs at away, I’m confident in their ability to cover against LSU.

For this matchup, I’m going to be hammering the under, as our model has Texas A&M and LSU combining for 66 points. Right now the over/under line is sitting at 66.5, so I’d recommend getting some action on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.