Texas A&M Aggies vs Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Texas A&M vs Mississippi State Prediction 10/19/2024

The Texas A&M Aggies (5-1) face off against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-5) on Saturday, October 19th. This game will be played at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville and televised on SECN. Texas A&M is coming off a win in their previous game, while Mississippi State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Georgia. Kickoff is set for 4:15 ET.

Texas A&M Aggies vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

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Texas A&M Offense Breakdown

Texas A&M’s offense has leaned heavily on their ground game, ranking 12th in the nation with 233.2 rushing yards per game. They are 17th in rushing attempts, averaging 40.8 per game. Le’Veon Moss leads the team with 609 rushing yards, six touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry. The Aggies are scoring 31 points per game, and we have them ranked as the 26th best offense heading into week 8.

Quarterback Marcel Reed has thrown for 585 yards and six touchdowns without an interception. He has a passer rating of 103. Overall, Texas A&M ranks 108th in passing yards per game, averaging 181 yards. Noah Thomas leads the receivers with 252 yards and two touchdowns.

Mississippi State Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 8, Mississippi State’s offense ranks 50th in points per game, averaging 28, and they are 61st in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is their strength, with 254 yards per game, ranking 45th in passing attempts. They are 48th in third-down conversions, converting 41.7% of their attempts.

Blake Shapen leads the Bulldogs with 974 passing yards and a passer rating of 117. He has completed 68.5% of his passes, throwing eight touchdowns and just one interception. Johnnie Daniels leads the rushing attack with 262 yards. Kevin Coleman Jr. has 447 receiving yards on 36 catches.

Texas A&M Team Defense

Texas A&M’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 13th nationally by allowing just 16.7 points per game. They’ve given up 114.5 rushing yards per game (38th) and 203.5 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks posting a 68.9 passer rating, the 19th-lowest in the country.

In their recent game against Missouri, the Aggies allowed just 10 points but gave up 461 total yards, including 231 rushing yards. They also allowed 230 passing yards on 17 completions.

Texas A&M Team Defense

Mississippi State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 33.2 points per game. In their recent game against Georgia, they gave up 41 points and 609 total yards, including 459 passing yards. Georgia completed 36 of 48 passes and scored three passing touchdowns, though Mississippi State did manage to force two interceptions.

Opponents have averaged 263.8 passing yards per game against Mississippi State, completing 73.6% of their passes. The defense has also allowed 204.8 rushing yards per game, facing an average of 38.2 rushing attempts per contest.

Texas A&M vs Mississippi State Trends

  • Across the Texas A&M Aggies last five road games, the team averaged 26 points per game while allowing 30. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-3-1, while going 1-4 straight-up.
  • In their last three home games, Mississippi State has averaged 22 points per game while allowing 35. The team’s record in this stretch was 0-3 while going 2-1.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Mississippi State Bulldogs have gone 2-2-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-5.
  • Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Texas A&M Aggies have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 1-2.

Aggies vs Bulldogs Prediction

Our projections have Texas A&M winning their week eight matchup against Mississippi State by a score of 36-25. With the Bulldogs coming in as +14.5 point underdogs, we like their chances to cover the spread.

For the over/under, our model suggests taking the over, as the projected 61 combined points is well above the current line of 56.5 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.