Texas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma Sooners NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Texas Longhorns vs Oklahoma Prediction 10/12/2024

The Texas Longhorns (5-0) face off against the Oklahoma Sooners (4-1) on Saturday, October 12th. This game will be played at Cotton Bowl in Dallas and televised on ABC. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 3:30 ET.

Texas Longhorns vs Oklahoma Sooners

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Texas Offense Breakdown

Texas’s passing game has been the focal point of their offense, ranking 16th in passing yards per game, with an average of 322 yards. Arch Manning has thrown for 900 yards, completing 70.5% of his passes, and has nine touchdowns with two interceptions. Texas is 6th in passer rating nationally and 9th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 7.

Overall, Texas is 6th in scoring, averaging 45 points per game, and they have converted 51.7% of their third-down attempts. Leading receiver Isaiah Bond has 364 yards and three touchdowns. On the ground, Texas is averaging 192 rushing yards per game.

Oklahoma Offense Breakdown

Oklahoma’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 28.6 points per game, which ranks them 50th nationally. They are also 100th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 7. Their third-down conversion rate is a low 26.5%, and they are 114th in passing yards, averaging 169.2 yards per game. Jackson Arnold, the quarterback, has thrown for 538 yards with a passer rating of 84.

Arnold has seven touchdown passes but has also thrown three interceptions. Oklahoma is 56th in passing attempts, averaging 28 per game. On the ground, they are 94th, with 138.8 rushing yards per game. Jovantae Barnes leads the team with 199 rushing yards and two touchdowns, averaging 3 yards per carry. Deion Burks has 201 receiving yards and three touchdowns.

Texas Team Defense

Texas’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking second in the nation by allowing just 7 points per game. In their latest game, they gave up only 13 points to Mississippi State, allowing 294 total yards, including 150 rushing yards on 50 attempts and 144 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 121.2 passing yards per game against Texas, the fourth-lowest in the country, with a passer rating of just 49.5, which ranks third. On the ground, Texas has allowed 107.4 rushing yards per game, ranking 31st nationally.

Texas Team Defense

Oklahoma’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 15th nationally by allowing just 16 points per game. In their recent matchup against Auburn, they gave up 21 points but managed to keep Auburn’s passing attack out of the end zone, allowing 200 passing yards and forcing 137 rushing yards on 31 carries.

Opponents have averaged 218.6 passing yards per game against Oklahoma, completing 61.3% of their throws. On the ground, Oklahoma’s defense has been strong, ranking 32nd in the nation by allowing just 108.4 rushing yards per game.

Texas vs Oklahoma Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Texas has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 29 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • Across the Oklahoma Sooners last ten home games, the team averaged 32 points per game while allowing 25. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 5-5, while going 5-5 straight-up.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Oklahoma Sooners have gone 6-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 3-7.
  • The last ten games that Texas was favored, they have an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 9-1 straight up.

Longhorns vs Sooners Prediction

Our projection for this Texas vs. Oklahoma matchup is a final score of 29-23 in favor of the Longhorns. With Oklahoma coming in as +14.5 point underdogs, we like their chances to cover the spread.

For the over/under, with the line set at 49 points, we see the over as the best play, as our score projection suggests a combined 52 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.