Texas Longhorns vs Vanderbilt Commodores NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Texas Longhorns vs Vanderbilt Prediction 10/26/2024

The Texas Longhorns (6-1) face off against the Vanderbilt Commodores (5-2) on Saturday, October 26th. This game will be played at FirstBank Stadium in Nashville and televised on SECN. Vanderbilt is coming off a win in their previous game, while Texas is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Georgia. Kickoff is set for 4:15 ET.

Texas Longhorns vs Vanderbilt Commodores

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Texas Offense Breakdown

Texas’s offense has been driven by their passing game, ranking 15th nationally with 295.6 yards per game. They are also 15th in passing completions, averaging 23.4 per game, and have the 12th-best completion percentage at 68%. Overall, they are 17th in scoring, with 39.1 points per game, and we have them 18th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 9.

Quinn Ewers leads the team with 1,101 passing yards and a 68.2% completion rate, earning a passer rating of 102. He has thrown 11 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Isaiah Bond is the leading receiver with 380 yards and 4 touchdowns. On the ground, Texas averages 166.6 rushing yards per game.

Vanderbilt Offense Breakdown

Vanderbilt’s offense is averaging 33.1 points per game heading into week 9, placing them 30th in the nation. However, they are ranked 20th in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing game is the focal point, with 39.3 attempts per game, ranking 21st nationally, and they average 163.4 rushing yards per game.

Quarterback Diego Pavia has thrown for 1,391 yards, maintaining a 66.2% completion rate. He has 11 touchdowns and just one interception, with a passer rating of 116. Vanderbilt ranks 10th nationally in passer rating and 8th in third-down conversions, converting 52.1% of their attempts.

Texas Team Defense

Despite allowing 30 points in their recent 30-15 loss to Georgia, Texas’s defense forced three interceptions and held Georgia to 285 total yards, including 110 rushing yards on 28 attempts and 175 passing yards.

Overall, Texas ranks 2nd nationally, allowing just 9.7 points per game. They’ve given up 106.7 rushing yards per game (27th) and 132.7 passing yards, ranking 5th, with opposing quarterbacks posting a passer rating of just 51.3, the 3rd lowest in the country.

Texas Team Defense

Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 22.1 points per game this season, ranking 40th nationally. They’ve given up 215.1 passing yards per game, with opposing quarterbacks completing 63.6% of their throws and posting a passer rating of 85.7. On the ground, Vanderbilt has allowed 117.3 rushing yards per game, facing the 15th fewest rushing attempts in the country.

In their recent game against Ball State, Vanderbilt’s defense gave up just 14 points, allowing 268 total yards. Ball State rushed 22 times for 78 yards and completed 21 of 29 passes for 190 yards.

Texas vs Vanderbilt Trends

  • Across their last three road contests, Texas has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 32 points per game.
  • Vanderbilt has a 1-2 record in their last three home games. In this stretch, they averaged 26 points per game while allowing 26. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • The last ten games that Vanderbilt was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 3-7 straight up.
  • Against the spread, the Texas Longhorns have put together 1-2 in their last three games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 2-1 straight up.

Longhorns vs Commodores Prediction

Our projections have Texas winning this matchup 31-17 over Vanderbilt. With the current spread at -18.5 for Texas, we see Vanderbilt as the better bet, as they should be able to keep it close enough to cover the spread.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 53.5 points, our projection of 48 total points suggests that taking the under is the best play.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.