Texas Tech Red Raiders vs TCU Horned Frogs NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Texas Tech Red vs TCU Horned Prediction 10/26/2024

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-2) face off against the TCU Horned Frogs (4-3) on Saturday, October 26th. This game will be played at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth and televised on FOX. TCU is coming off a win in their previous game, while Texas Tech is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Baylor. Kickoff is set for 3:30 ET.

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs TCU Horned Frogs

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Texas Tech Offense Breakdown

Texas Tech’s offense is averaging 38.7 points per game, placing them 18th in the nation heading into week 9. They are also 20th in third-down conversions, converting 45.9% of their attempts. Our power rankings have them as the 53rd best offense in college football.

Behren Morton leads the team with 1,926 passing yards and 17 touchdowns, with just three interceptions. He has a passer rating of 101 and a completion percentage of 63.7%. Texas Tech ranks 5th in passing attempts per game, averaging 41.1, and 7th in completions, with 26.1 per game. They are 17th in passing yards, averaging 292.4 per game. Tahj Brooks has rushed for 804 yards and eight touchdowns this season.

TCU Offense Breakdown

TCU’s offense has leaned heavily on their passing game this season, ranking 4th nationally with 331.4 yards per game. They are 3rd in completions, averaging 27.3 per game, and 7th in passing attempts. Josh Hoover has thrown for 2,270 yards with a 66.4% completion rate, and he has 16 touchdown passes. TCU is 34th in scoring, with 32.1 points per game, and we have them 38th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 9.

Hoover has a passer rating of 101, with 6 interceptions this season. Leading receiver Jack Bech has 748 yards and 7 touchdowns on 42 catches. TCU’s run game has struggled, averaging just 105.9 yards per game, and Cam Cook leads the team with 349 rushing yards.

Texas Tech Team Defense

Texas Tech’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 36.1 points per game, including 59 points in their recent loss to Baylor. They gave up 529 total yards, with 255 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns, along with 274 passing yards and five passing touchdowns.

Opponents have averaged 303.1 passing yards per game against Texas Tech, ranking them 168th nationally. The defense has faced the 101st most pass attempts in the country and is allowing 163.4 rushing yards per game.

Texas Tech Team Defense

TCU’s defense played a key role in their recent 13-7 win over Utah, allowing just 7 points and limiting the Utes to 12 first downs. They held Utah to 68 rushing yards on 26 attempts and forced one interception while giving up 199 passing yards.

On the season, TCU ranks 16th nationally in passing yards allowed, giving up 161.7 yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 57.8% of their passes against TCU. However, the Horned Frogs have struggled against the run, ranking 122nd by allowing 167.1 rushing yards per game.

Texas Tech vs TCU Trends

  • In their last three games away from home, the Texas Tech Red Raiders have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 17 points per game in these contests.
  • When looking at their past three matchups at home, TCU has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 31 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Texas Tech Red Raiders have a straight up record of 5-5 and an ATS mark of 6-4.
  • As the betting favorite, the TCU Horned Frogs have an ATS mark of just 0-5 in their last five games. TCU posted a straight up mark of 2-3 in these matchups.

Red Raiders vs Horned Frogs Prediction

We like Texas Tech’s chances to not only cover the +7 point spread as road underdogs, but also to win straight-up in their week nine matchup against TCU. Our predicted final score is 42-30 in favor of the Red Raiders.

With the over/under line set at 67 points, our projection of 72 total points makes the over a strong play.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.