Texas Tech vs Texas ncaaf prediction

NCAAF Texas Tech vs Texas Longhorns Prediction 11/24/2023

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-5) travel to face off against the Texas Longhorns (10-1) on Friday, November 24th. This game will be played at Darrell K. Royal Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin and televised on ABC. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 7:30 ET.

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Texas Longhorns

The Texas Tech Red Raiders Are Coming Off A Win

In their most recent game, Texas Tech matched up with UCF and came out on top with a 24-23 win. Heading into the 4th quarter of the game, Texas Tech held a 21-point lead. In the win vs. UCF, quarterback Behren Morton concluded with a QB rating of 89.7, connecting on 21 of 35 passes for 256 yards. He also added two touchdowns to his performance.

Combining for 47 points, the teams fell short of the over/under line of 59.5. Texas Tech was favored to win by 2.5 going into the game, giving them an ATS loss.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders take on the Texas with a 6-5 record, including 2-2 on the road and 3-2 at home.

Texas Tech’s average scoring differential for the season is +4.4 leading to an ATS mark of 4-5. The Red Raiders have been favored seven times and the underdog in two games This season, Texas Tech has posted an over/under record of 3-6 through 11 games. On average their games have combined for 52.9 points.

The Texas Longhorns Are Coming Off A Win

The Longhorns’ last played against Iowa State, with the game ending in a 26-16 win. Quarterback Quinn Ewers threw for two touchdowns in Texas’ win over Iowa State. Overall, he had a passer rating of 115.85 while completing 69.7% of his passes for 281 yards.

With an over/under line of 44.5 going into the game, the teams fell short of that number with 42 points. Texas covered the spread as 7-point favorites.

So far, the Texas Longhorns are 10-1, including going 5-1 on the road and 4-0 at home.

Texas’ average scoring differential for the season is +14.9 leading to an ATS mark of 5-5. The Longhorns have been favored nine times and the underdog in one games This season, Texas has an over/under record of 2-7-1. Their games have, on average, produced a combined total of 51.3 points, with the typical over/under line being 53.8 points.

Texas Tech Offense Breakdown

Texas Tech’s offense has put up an average of 28.6 points per game, placing them 50th in the NCAA rankings. Through the air, they’ve gained 233.2 passing yards on average, ranking 56th in the nation. On the ground, they’re holding the 49th position in rushing yards, with 401 rushing attempts per game this season.

This season, Behren Morton has thrown for 1410 yards while maintaining an average of 10.4 per completion. His completion percentage stands at 63.3%, and he’s recorded 12 touchdowns.

Texas Offense Breakdown

On the ground, the Longhorns are 37th in college football at 412 attempts per game. This has led to an average of 178.5 (39th). So far, they have turned to the passing game 32.1 and have a per game average of 276.3. Overall, they are 26th in points (33.1 PPG).

Quinn Ewers is the team’s leading passer this season, racking up 2513 yards while averaging 12.8 per completion. His completion rate for the year stands at 70.3%, with 16 touchdowns.

Texas Tech Team Defense

The Red Raiders defense faces off against Texas with 18 sacks and are 1st in QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re giving up 24.3 points per game which is 92nd in the nation. Against the pass, they’re 98th in the NCAA, allowing 226.6 passing yards per game. Texas Tech’s run defense is yielding 155.3 rushing yards per contest.

Texas Team Defense

Texas’ defense sits at 63rd for points allowed, allowing 18.2 points per game. So far, teams have been averaging 253.9 passing yards per game against them (145th nationally). On the ground, they’re yielding 82.7 rushing yards, ranking them 9th in college football.

Texas Tech vs Texas Trends

  • Texas Tech’s three most recent games vs. the spread has seen them go 2-1 against the spread.
  • Texas’ ATS record at home (last ten) is 5-5.
  • Longhorns is 2-3 in their last five games as underdogs.
  • Texas Tech are 2-3 in their last five games as favorites.

Texas Tech vs Texas Prediction

For this matchup, I’m liking Texas Tech to cover as 13.5-point underdogs. Texas Tech is coming off a game in which they ran the ball well vs. UCF and should do so once again. Before kickoff i’ll be taking Texas Tech on the spread.

Our model sees the over/under line for this matchup being to low and like the outlook of this game surpassing 53 points. The betting model spit out this game finishing with a combined 56 points.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.