texas longhorns vs iowa state
PublishedNovember 16, 2023,            Posted By: Maria Uebelhor
Last updated:November 17, 2023 , ,

NCAAF: Texas vs. Iowa State Prediction 11/18/2023

The Texas Longhorns (9-1) travel to face off against the Iowa State Cyclones (6-4) on Saturday, November 18th. This game will be played at Jack Trice Stadium in Ames and televised on FOX. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 8:00 ET.

Texas Longhorns vs Iowa State Cyclones

The Texas Longhorns Are Coming Off A Win

Texas most recently took down TCU by a score of 29-26. The Longhorns went into the 4th quarter of this game leading by 19. In the win against TCU, quarterback Quinn Ewers achieved a QB rating of 95.14, completing 22 of 33 passes for 317 yards. Additionally, he contributed one touchdown to the game.

With their combined 55, Texas and TCU matched the pre-game over/under line. Despite the loss, TCU covered the spread as 12.5-point underdogs.

This season, the Texas Longhorns are currently 9-1. So far this season, they have played five road games and four at home.

Texas’ average scoring differential for the season is +15.4 leading to an ATS mark of 4-5. The Longhorns have been favored eight times and the underdog in one games So far this season, Texas boasts an over/under record of 2-6-1. On average, their matchups have resulted in a combined score of 52.2 points, while the average over/under line has been 54.7 points.

The Iowa State Cyclones Are Coming Off A Win

Fueling Iowa State’s most recent 45-13 win over BYU was a strong first quarter. In the game, they were up 17-7 after the opening quarter. In the win to BYU, quarterback Rocco Becht concluded with a QB rating of 122.19 while connecting on 15 of 23 passes for 203 yards. Moreover, he contributed two touchdowns to the game.

Heading into the game Iowa State was the betting favorite at 7 and picked up an ATS win. Together, the teams scored 58 points, resulting in a hit for the over.

So far, the Iowa State Cyclones are 6-4, including going 3-2 on the road and 2-2 at home.

Against the spread, Iowa State has gone 5-4 this season. The Cyclones have been favored five times compared to four games as the underdog. Over 10 games, the average over/under line for Iowa State’s games has been 44.4 points. The total score in these matchups has averaged 45.6 points, resulting in an OU record of 4-5.

Texas Offense Breakdown

The Longhorns are currently ranked 34th in college football with 380 rushing attempts per game. In terms of rush yards, they are at 183.7 rushing yards per game, which is 35th in the nation. Looking at their production in the passing game, they are averaging 32 attempts per game and gain an average of 275.8 passing yards. Overall, they hold the 26th spot with 33.8 points per game.

So far, Quinn Ewers has accumulated 2232 passing yards while averaging 12.9 per completion. His completion rate for the year is 70.3%, and he’s tossed 14 touchdowns.

Iowa State Offense Breakdown

The Cyclones’ heads into the game, averaging 130.5 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. Overall, they’re 92nd in rushing yards and 92nd in passing yards at 218.6 yards per contest. Iowa State is averaging 25.7 points per game, which is 64th in the nation.

Rocco Becht is the team’s leading passer, with 2121 passing yards under his belt and a completion rate of 62.1%. Currently, he’s averaging 7.4 yards per pass attempt.

Texas Team Defense

Defensively, the Longhorns enter the game with 26 sacks and ranked 1st in QB hurries. They’ve allowed 18.4 points per game thus far this season (63rd). In terms of pass defense, they’re 135th in the NCAA, giving up 247 passing yards per game. Against the run, Texas has allowed 90.1 rushing yards per contest thus far.

Iowa State Team Defense

Iowa State’s defense holds the 148th rank in passing yards allowed per game as they head into this game. On average, opponents have made 33.3 passing attempts against the Cyclones. They have given up 19.9 points per game, which places them at 70th in college football. In the rush defense category, they rank 49th in the NCAA.

Texas vs Iowa State Trends

  • Looking at Texas’ ten most recent road games, they have put together a record vs. the spread of 5-5.
  • Iowa State’s ATS record at home (last ten) is 5-5.
  • Iowa State’s ATS record in their five most recent games as an underdog is 2-3.
  • The previous ten time that Texas was favored, they are 3-7 against the spread.

Texas vs Iowa State Prediction

Look for Texas’ passing attack to put together another big game, as they are coming off a big performance vs. TCU. Favored by 7.5 on the road, I like Texas to cover.

So far this season, Texas’ games have combined for 52.2 points. With the over/under line sitting at 47, I’m taking the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.