Toldedo vs Central Michigan ncaaf prediction

NCAAF Toledo vs Central Michigan Prediction 11/24/2023

The Toledo Rockets (10-1) travel to face off against the Central Michigan Chippewas (5-6) on Friday, November 24th. This game will be played at Kelly/Shorts Stadium in Mount Pleasant and televised on ESNU. Toledo is coming off a win in their previous game, while Central Michigan is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Ohio. Kickoff is set for 12:00 ET.

Toledo Rockets vs Central Michigan Chippewas

The Toledo Rockets Are Coming Off A Win

The Toledo Rockets are coming off a close 32-31 win vs. Bowling Green. In the team’s most recent win, quarterback DeQuan Finn was not only responsible for two touchdowns through the air but also added one touchdown on the ground. In terms of passing, he accumulated 279 yards while achieving a completion rate of 66.7%.

With their 63 combined points, Toledo and Bowling Green surpassed the over/under line of 49.5. Although Toledo won straight-up, it wasn’t enough to cover at -10.

So far, the Toledo Rockets are 10-1, including going 4-1 on the road and 5-0 at home.

Against the spread, Toledo has gone 4-6 this season. The Rockets have been favored nine times compared to one game as the underdog. So far in this season, Toledo has posted an over/under record of 6-4. On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 56.3 points, with the typical over/under line set at 49.3 points.

The Central Michigan Chippewas Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Central Michigan fell behind early in their most recent game vs. Ohio, trailing 10-0 after the first quarter. The Chippewas ended up losing 34-20. In the loss against Ohio, quarterback Jase Bauer wrapped up the game with a QB rating of 84.82 after completing 10 of 21 passes for 157 yards. He also added two touchdowns to his performance.

Not only did Central Michigan lose straight-up in this matchup, but they also lost vs. the spread as 11-point underdogs. Combining for 54 points, the teams exceeded the line of 48.5 points.

The Central Michigan Chippewas take on the Toledo with a 5-6 record, including 1-6 on the road and 3-0 at home.

Central Michigan has gone into four games as the favorite this season and six games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 3-7. Central Michigan has an over/under record of 6-4 so far this season. On average their games have combined for 54.7 points with the average over/under line being 48 points.

Toledo Offense Breakdown

The Rockets’ heads into the game, averaging 210 rushing yards per game and 5 yards per attempt. Overall, they’re 11th in rushing yards and 11th in passing yards at 229.6 yards per contest. Toledo is averaging 35.5 points per game, which is 19th in the nation.

DeQuan Finn, the team’s top passer, has thrown for 2278 yards with a completion rate of 65.9%. His current average yards per pass attempt is 8.6.

Central Michigan Offense Breakdown

As they prepare to face the Toledo, the Chippewas’ offense is averaging 165 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. Nationally, they are 57th in rushing yards and 109th in passing yards, on an average of 180.5 yards per matchup. Central Michigan has averaged 23.7 points per game so far. This figure places them 72nd in the nation.

Jase Bauer leads the team in passing yards this season with 1699. He’s averaging 11.5 per completion and holds a 56.7% completion rate, having thrown 11 touchdowns.

Toledo Team Defense

This season, the Rockets’ defense has allowed 146.5 rushing yards per contest, placing them 137th. Opponents are averaging 185.3 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks hold a passer rating of 64.2 when facing Toledo. They currently hold the 78th spot in NCAA points allowed.

Central Michigan Team Defense

In terms of passing yards allowed per game, Central Michigan’s defense is ranked 54th. Opponents, on average, attempt 31.1 passes against the Chippewas. They are allowing 31 PPG, which places them 132nd in college football. Their rush defense ranks 88th in the NCAA.

Toledo vs Central Michigan Trends

  • Toledo are 2-3 Against the spread in their last five games on the road.
  • At home, Central Michigan has gone 1-4 against the spread (last five).
  • Central Michigan’s ATS record in their ten most recent games as the underdog is 6-4.
  • When favored, Toledo has gone 4-6 vs. the spread (last 10).

Toledo vs Central Michigan Prediction

Like they have done all season, Toledo will be heading into this game looking to establish the run. I like them to have a good game on the ground and to cover the spread over Central Michigan.

If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, the data we have suggests this game finishing below 55.5 points. For this game, my money is on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.