Troy Trojans vs Iowa Hawkeyes NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Troy Trojans vs Iowa Hawkeyes Prediction 9/14/2024

The Troy Trojans (0-2) face off against the Iowa Hawkeyes (1-1) on Saturday, September 14th. This game will be played at Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City and televised on FS1. Both Troy and Iowa will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00 ET.

Troy Trojans vs Iowa Hawkeyes

 

Troy Offense Breakdown

In their 38-17 loss to Memphis, Troy’s offense managed to pick up 17 first downs but was limited to 251 total yards. The Trojans rushed for just 101 yards, with Damien Taylor leading the way with 33 yards on seven carries. Troy’s ground game did find the end zone twice, but the team was unable to score through the air.

Quarterback Matthew Caldwell completed 11 of 19 passes for 113 yards, with a passer rating of 75.11. Zeriah Beason was his top target, catching four passes for 60 yards.

Iowa Offense Breakdown

In their narrow 20-19 loss to Iowa State, Iowa’s offense finished with 303 total yards, with 204 of those coming on the ground. Kaleb Johnson was the standout rusher, gaining 187 yards on 25 carries and scoring two touchdowns. The Hawkeyes moved the chains 16 times but struggled in the passing game, with Cade McNamara completing just 13 of 29 passes for 99 yards. McNamara threw two interceptions and ended the game with a passer rating of 24.93.

Troy Team Defense

Troy’s defense will be looking to improve after allowing 372 total yards and 38 points to Memphis. The Trojans’ run defense was particularly poor, giving up 211 yards and four rushing touchdowns. In the passing game, Troy allowed 161 yards on 20 completions and one touchdown.

Troy Team Defense

Following their 20-19 loss to Iowa State, Iowa’s defense will be looking to tighten up in the secondary, as they allowed 272 passing yards and two touchdowns. Overall, the Hawkeyes gave up 361 total yards, but they were solid against the run, holding Iowa State to just 89 rushing yards on 28 attempts. Iowa’s defense also came up with an interception in the game.

Troy vs Iowa Trends

  • Across the Troy Trojans last ten road games, the team averaged 26 points per game while allowing 18. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 7-3, while going 7-3 straight-up.
  • Through their last three home contests, the Iowa Hawkeyes offense has averaged 7 points per game while allowing an average of 17. Iowa posted an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • Troy has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last five games.
  • As the betting favorite, the Iowa Hawkeyes have an ATS mark of just 5-4-1 in their last ten games. Iowa posted a straight up mark of 8-2 in these matchups.

Trojans vs Hawkeyes Prediction

Our projections have Troy covering the +22.5 point spread as road underdogs vs. Iowa. The final score is expected to be 24-18 in favor of Iowa, making Troy a good bet to cover.

With the over/under line set at 38.5 points, we see a lot of value in taking the over, as our model is projecting a combined 42 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.