Tulane Green Wave vs Florida Gators NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Tulane Green vs Florida Prediction Gasparilla Bowl

The Tulane Green Wave (9-4) face off against the Florida Gators (7-5) on Friday, December 20th. This game will be played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa and televised on ESPN2. Florida is coming off a win in their previous game, while Tulane is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Army. Kickoff is set for 3:30 ET.

Tulane Green Wave vs Florida Gators

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Tulane Offense Breakdown

Tulane’s offense is set to enter the season ranked 31st in our offensive power rankings, but they have been productive, averaging 37.2 points per game, which ranks 8th nationally. Their rushing attack is their strength, with 206.8 yards per game on 40.5 attempts, ranking 13th in the country.

Makhi Hughes leads the ground game with 1,372 yards and 15 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Quarterback Darian Mensah has thrown for 2,723 yards, 22 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions, with a passer rating of 113. Tulane ranks 2nd in third-down conversions, converting 52.2% of their attempts.

Florida Offense Breakdown

Florida’s offense ranks 50th in points per game, scoring 27.9, and they are 48th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 1. Quarterback DJ Lagway has thrown for 1,610 yards with 11 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 98.

Florida ranks 93rd in passing attempts per game, and they are 86th in third-down conversion percentage, converting just 37.9% of their tries. Jadan Baugh leads the rushing attack with 603 yards and 7 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Elijhah Badger has 789 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns.

Tulane Team Defense

Despite ranking 24th nationally by allowing just 19.7 points per game, Tulane’s defense struggled in their recent game against Army, giving up 35 points in a 35-14 loss. They allowed 20 first downs and 338 rushing yards on 55 attempts, though they limited Army to just 17 passing yards.

Opposing offenses have averaged 144.1 rushing yards per game against Tulane, while quarterbacks have posted a passer rating of 70.1, the 14th-lowest in the country. Tulane’s secondary has allowed just 167.9 passing yards per game, ranking 12th nationally.

Tulane Team Defense

Florida’s defense played a key role in their 31-11 win over Florida State, allowing just 11 points. They held the Seminoles to 99 rushing yards on 44 attempts and 140 passing yards, giving up no passing touchdowns.

On the season, Florida’s defense is ranked 44th nationally, giving up 24.3 points per game. They’ve allowed 156.7 rushing yards per game and 236 passing yards, which ranks 121st in the country.

Tulane vs Florida Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, Tulane has an ATS record of 6-4 while averaging 32 per game. The team went 8-2 overall in these games.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Florida Gators have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 6-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 26 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Tulane Green Wave have a straight up record of 3-7 and an ATS mark of 6-4.
  • Florida has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.

Green Wave vs Gators Prediction

Our projections have the Florida Gators winning their week one matchup against Tulane by a score of 29-16. Tulane is the +13.5 point underdog, but we believe they will cover the spread.

With the over/under line set at 50.5 points, we recommend taking the under, as our model suggests these teams will combine for 45 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.