UAB vs North Texas ncaaf prediction

NCAAF UAB Blazers vs North Texas Mean Prediction 11/25/2023

The UAB Blazers (4-7) travel to face off against the North Texas Mean Green (4-7) on Saturday, November 25th. This game will be played at Apogee Stadium in Denton and televised on ESPN+. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 2:00 ET.

UAB Blazers vs North Texas Mean Green

The UAB Blazers Are Coming Off A Win

In their most recent game, UAB matched up with Temple and came out on top with a 34-24 win. Heading into the 4th quarter of the game, UAB held a seven-point lead. In the win against Temple, quarterback Jacob Zeno wrapped up the game with a QB rating of 110.12 after completing 20 of 28 passes for 246 yards. He also added one touchdown to his performance.

Looking at the point-spread for this game, UAB covered as 7.5-point favorites. While on the over/under, the betting line was 62 at game time, resulting in a hit for the under.

So far, the UAB Blazers are 4-7, including going 0-5 on the road and 3-2 at home.

So far, UAB has been favored three times and the underdog in seven games. This has led to an ATS record of 5-5 and an average scoring differential of -7.4. So far this season, the average over/under line for UAB’s games has been 60.8 points. The Blazers have an over/under record of 6-4 heading into this week’s game.

The North Texas Mean Green Are Coming Off A Win

North Texas is coming off a 35-28 win over Tulsa and were able to hold on despite Tulsa cutting into their 35-21 lead going into the 4th quarter. In North Texas’ most recent win, Chandler Rogers not only threw for three touchdowns but ran for one as well. For the game, he threw for a total of 294 yards while completing 61.3% of his passes.

The over/under line going into the game was 69.5 points, which the teams fell short of. North Texas picked up an ATS win as they were favored by 2.5.

So far, the North Texas Mean Green are 4-7, including going 2-4 on the road and 1-3 at home.

So far, North Texas has been favored three times and the underdog in seven games. This has led to an ATS record of 6-3-1 and an average scoring differential of -3.1. After 11 games, the average over/under line in North Texas’ matches stands at 63.8 points. The collective score in their games has averaged 70.2 points, resulting in an OU record of 4-6.

UAB Offense Breakdown

On offense, UAB comes into the game averaging 28.8, which is 49th in the NCAA. On average, they are averaging 289.3 passing yards (19th) compared to 67th in rushing yards. For the season, they are averaging 391 rushing attempts per contest.

Jacob Zeno leads the team in passing yards this season with 2841. He’s averaged 10.8 per completion and holds a 74.5% completion rate, having thrown 18 touchdowns.

North Texas Offense Breakdown

The Mean Green’s offense is gearing up to take on UAB, with an average of 187 rushing yards per game and an 5 yards per attempt. In the college football rankings, they are currently in 26th place for rushing yards and 14th place for passing yards, accumulating an average of 295.4 yards per contest. North Texas’ overall scoring average is at 33.5 points per game, placing them 23rd rank nationally.

Quarterback Chandler Rogers leads the team with 2979 passing yards while completing 62.7% of his passes. So far, he is averaging 8.1 yards per passing attempt.

UAB Team Defense

On defense, the Blazers defense has 23 sacks and are 1st in QB hurries. So far, teams are scoring 36.2 points per game against them (151st). In terms of pass defense, they’re ranked 88th in the NCAA, allowing 222.9 passing yards per game. Moreover, UAB’s run defense is allowing 193.8 rushing yards per contest.

North Texas Team Defense

On defense, North Texas comes into the game ranked 132nd in passing yards per game. Opponents are throwing the ball an average of 27.4 times per contest vs. the Mean Green. Overall, they are giving up 36.6 points per game, which is 153rd in college football. Against the run, they are 181st in the NCAA in rushing yards allowed.

UAB vs North Texas Trends

  • Looking at UAB’s ten most recent road games, they have put together a record vs. the spread of 2-8.
  • North Texas is 6-4 in their last ten home games.
  • North Texas’ ATS record in their ten most recent games as the underdog is 5-4-1.
  • UAB is 4-6 in their last ten games as the favorite.

UAB vs North Texas Prediction

I’m going with UAB on the spread, with the line sitting at +3. I anticipate the UAB rushing offense capitalizing on the vulnerabilities in North Texas’ defense, as they struggled against Temple. Lock in UAB at +3.

Heading into this matchup, North Texas’ games have averaged 70.2 points per game. Given that the over/under line for this matchup is at 72.5, I’m taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.