The UCF Knights (3-1) face off against the Florida Gators (2-2) on Saturday, October 5th. This game will be played at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville and televised on SECN. Florida is coming off a win in their previous game, while UCF is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Colorado. Kickoff is set for 7:45 ET.

UCF Knights vs Florida Gators

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UCF Offense Breakdown

UCF’s offense has been dominant on the ground, ranking 2nd nationally with 326 rushing yards per game. They also rank 6th in rushing attempts, averaging 52.2 per game. RJ Harvey leads the team with 525 rushing yards, 8 touchdowns, and an impressive 7 yards per carry. UCF is 19th in scoring, averaging 39.5 points per game, and they are 16th in third-down conversions, converting 50% of their attempts. Our power rankings place them as the 24th best offense heading into week 6.

KJ Jefferson leads UCF’s passing attack with 847 yards and 7 touchdowns, but he has also thrown 3 interceptions. His passer rating is 106, and UCF ranks 89th in passing yards per game. Jefferson has completed 60.5% of his passes. Kobe Hudson is the leading receiver with 349 yards and 2 touchdowns on 15 catches.

Florida Offense Breakdown

Florida’s offense is averaging 31.8 points per game, placing them 42nd in the nation. They are ranked 40th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6. Their passing game is averaging 278.5 yards per game, and they are 11th in completion percentage, completing 70.6% of their passes. However, they have converted only 36.8% of their third downs.

DJ Lagway leads the Gators with 617 passing yards, four touchdowns, and three interceptions. He has a passer rating of 109. Montrell Johnson Jr. leads the rushing attack with 234 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 4 yards per carry. Elijhah Badger has 305 receiving yards on 14 catches.

UCF Team Defense

UCF’s defense has allowed an average of 24.8 points per game this season, including 48 points in their recent loss to Colorado. They gave up 418 total yards, with 290 yards coming through the air and three passing touchdowns, though they did manage one interception.

Opponents have averaged 251.5 passing yards per game against UCF, completing 67% of their throws. On the ground, UCF ranks 12th nationally, allowing just 82.2 rushing yards per game on an average of 25.2 attempts, which is the 8th fewest rushing attempts faced in the country.

UCF Team Defense

Florida’s defense will look to improve after allowing 28 points in their recent game against Mississippi State, though they did manage to secure a 45-28 win. The Gators gave up 294 total yards, including 150 rushing yards on 50 attempts and 144 yards through the air.

On average, Florida’s defense is giving up 27.2 points per game this season. They rank 132nd in the nation against the run, allowing 189 rushing yards per game, and 114th in passing yards, giving up 236.8 yards per game.

UCF vs Florida Trends

• The UCF Knights are 2-1 ATS in their three last road games and 2-1 straight-up.
• Florida has a 1-2 record in their last three home games. In this stretch, they averaged 37 points per game while allowing 37. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
• The last ten games that Florida was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 2-8 straight up.
• In their last three games as the betting favorite, the UCF Knights have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.

Knights vs Gators Prediction

Florida is the +2.5 point underdog at home in their week six matchup against UCF, but we like their chances to pull off the upset, with our projected final score being 29-25 in favor of the Gators. For a point spread pick, we would go with Florida to cover as the slight underdog.

With the over/under line currently sitting at 61.5 points, we see these teams falling short of that number, making the under our preferred bet, with our projection totaling 54 points.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.