UCF Knights vs TCU Horned Frogs NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF UCF Knights vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction 9/14/2024

The UCF Knights (2-0) face off against the TCU Horned Frogs (2-0) on Saturday, September 14th. This game will be played at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth and televised on FOX. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 7:30 ET.

UCF Knights vs TCU Horned Frogs

 

UCF Offense Breakdown

UCF’s offense was dominant in their 45-14 win, racking up 554 total yards. The Knights’ ground game was particularly strong, amassing 384 yards and scoring six rushing touchdowns. RJ Harvey was the standout rusher, gaining 126 yards on 19 carries and finding the end zone four times.

Quarterback KJ Jefferson completed 12 of 15 passes for 169 yards, with an additional 113.61 passer rating. Kobe Hudson was his top target, hauling in five receptions for 104 yards.

TCU Offense Breakdown

Quarterback Josh Hoover was efficient in TCU’s 45-0 win, completing 80% of his passes for 267 yards and two touchdowns. Savion Williams was his top target, hauling in five receptions for 69 yards.

The TCU offense totaled 441 yards, with 298 yards coming through the air. The ground game was effective, with 143 yards and four rushing touchdowns. Cam Cook led the team in rushing, picking up 58 yards on 13 carries and scoring three of the team’s four rushing touchdowns.

UCF Team Defense

UCF’s defense was dominant in their most recent game, allowing just 68 rushing yards and 219 passing yards. Despite giving up two passing touchdowns, the Knights’ defense picked off two passes and held Sam Houston to just 14 points. UCF’s defense allowed only 12 total first downs and 287 yards of total offense.

UCF Team Defense

TCU’s defense was dominant in their most recent game, holding LIU to just 68 passing yards on 9 completions. The Horned Frogs picked off one pass and limited LIU to a total of 149 yards of offense. LIU managed just 9 first downs and 81 rushing yards on 33 attempts, failing to score in a 45-0 defeat.

UCF vs TCU Trends

  • Through their last five road contests, the UCF Knights offense has averaged 26 points per game while allowing an average of 35. UCF posted an overall record of 1-4 while going 2-3 ATS.
  • Across their three previous home games, TCU has an ATS mark of 0-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 35 points per game.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the UCF Knights have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 3-0.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the TCU Horned Frogs have a straight up record of 7-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-6.

Knights vs Horned Frogs Prediction

UCF comes into this week three matchup as the slight -1.5 point favorite over TCU. Our projected final score is 29-26 in favor of UCF, so we like UCF to win and cover the spread as the road underdog.

For the over/under, with the line set at 61.5 points, we recommend taking the under, as our projections have the combined score at 55 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.