The UCLA Bruins (1-3) face off against the Penn State Nittany Lions (4-0) on Saturday, October 5th. This game will be played at Beaver Stadium in University Park and televised on FOX. Penn State is coming off a win in their previous game, while UCLA is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Oregon. Kickoff is set for 12:00 ET.
UCLA Bruins vs Penn State Nittany Lions
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UCLA Offense Breakdown
UCLA’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 14.8 points per game, which ranks them 93rd in the nation. They are also 100th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6. Their third-down conversion rate is just 27.9%, and they are 128th in rushing, averaging 58.8 yards per game.
Quarterback Ethan Garbers has thrown for 808 yards, but he has six interceptions and only three touchdowns, giving him a passer rating of 65. Overall, UCLA ranks 122nd in passer rating. T.J. Harden leads the team in rushing with 125 yards. Rico Flores Jr. has 187 receiving yards and one touchdown.
Penn State Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 6, Penn State’s offense is averaging 36.2 points per game, placing them 26th in the nation. However, they rank 18th in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing attack is the focal point, with 254 rushing yards per game on 42.5 attempts.
Nicholas Singleton leads the ground game with 408 yards, averaging 7 yards per carry, and has scored three touchdowns. Quarterback Drew Allar has thrown for 864 yards, with eight touchdowns and one interception, giving him a passer rating of 135.
UCLA Team Defense
UCLA’s defense has allowed an average of 30.8 points per game this season, including 34 points in their recent 34-13 loss to Oregon. The Bruins gave up 434 total yards, with 278 passing yards and three passing touchdowns, though they did manage to force one interception.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed 70.4% of their passes against UCLA, averaging 291 passing yards per game. The Bruins rank 33rd nationally in rushing defense, allowing just 108.2 yards per game on the ground.
UCLA Team Defense
Penn State’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking 6th nationally by allowing just 11.5 points per game. They’ve also held opponents to 78.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks 9th in the country, and 154.5 passing yards per game, with a passer rating of 63.2 and a completion percentage of 48.4%.
In their recent game against Illinois, Penn State’s defense allowed just 7 points and 34 rushing yards on 32 attempts. Illinois managed 219 total yards, including 185 passing yards, while Penn State’s defense also forced an interception.
UCLA vs Penn State Trends
- The UCLA Bruins are 3-2 ATS in their last road games and 3-2 straight-up.
- Through their last ten home contests, the Penn State Nittany Lions offense has averaged 36 points per game while allowing an average of 15. Penn State posted an overall record of 8-2 while going 8-2 ATS.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the UCLA Bruins have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 3-7.
- Although the Penn State Nittany Lions have a strong straight up record in their last three games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 1-2.
Bruins vs Nittany Lions Prediction
Our projected score for this week six matchup between Penn State and UCLA is 39-11 in favor of Penn State. With the Nittany Lions as -27.5 point favorites, we expect them to win comfortably and for UCLA to cover the spread.
For the over/under, with the line set at 44.5 points, we see a total of 50 points, making the over the best play for this matchup.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:October 1, 2024 Penn State Nittany Lions, UCLA Bruins