UCLA vs USC ncaaf betting

NCAAF: UCLA Bruins vs. USC Trojans Prediction 11/18/2023

The UCLA Bruins (6-4) travel to face off against the USC Trojans (7-4) on Saturday, November 18th. This game will be played at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum in Los Angeles and televised on ABC. Both UCLA and USC will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 ET.

UCLA Bruins vs USC Trojans

The UCLA Bruins Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In UCLA’s most recent loss to Arizona State, the Bruins faced a -10-point deficit going into the 4th and were unable to mount a comeback effort, falling 17-7. In the loss vs. Arizona State, quarterback Collin Schlee concluded with a QB rating of 98.61, connecting on 11 of 18 passes for 117 yards. He also added one touchdown to his performance.

Leading up to the game, UCLA was favored to win by 14.5, handing them an ATS and straight-up defeat. The under ended up hitting as the line going into the game was 45.5.

So far, the UCLA Bruins are 6-4, including going 2-3 on the road and 4-1 at home.

UCLA has gone into eight games as the favorite this season and two games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 4-6. So far in this season, UCLA has posted an over/under record of 2-8. On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 42.8 points, with the typical over/under line set at 54.6 points.

The USC Trojans Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In USC’s most recent loss to Oregon, the Trojans faced a -9-point deficit going into the 4th and were unable to mount a comeback effort, falling 36-27. In the team’s most recent loss, quarterback Caleb Williams was not only responsible for one touchdown through the air but also added one touchdown on the ground. Furthermore, in terms of passing, he accumulated 291 yards while achieving a completion rate of 55.9%.

Going into the game, USC was 16.5-point underdogs and despite the straight-up loss, they did cover the spread. The team’s combined 63 points was not enough to surpass the over/under line of 76.5.

The USC Trojans take on the UCLA with a 7-4 record, including 3-2 on the road and 3-2 at home.

So far, USC has been favored seven times and the underdog in three games. This has led to an ATS record of 3-7 and an average scoring differential of +9.2. The average point total in USC’s 11 games is currently 78.5 points per game. This has led to an over/under record of 8-2 for the Trojans.

UCLA Offense Breakdown

UCLA’s offense is averaging 26.4 points per game, which ranks them 60th in the NCAA. Through the air, they’re at 228.5 passing yards on average, putting them at 64th in the nation. Their rushing attack is currently 14th in rushing yards, with an average of 404 rushing attempts per game this season.

Dante Moore is the team’s leading passer, with 1344 passing yards under his belt and a completion rate of 52%. Currently, he’s averaging 7.7 yards per pass attempt.

USC Offense Breakdown

The Trojans are currently ranked 72nd in college football with 319 rushing attempts per game. In terms of rush yards, they are at 152 rushing yards per game, which is 57th in the nation. Looking at their production in the passing game, they are averaging 34.7 attempts per game and gain an average of 324.8 passing yards. Overall, they hold the 1st spot with 43.8 points per game.

Caleb Williams leads the team in passing yards this season with 3249. He’s averaged 13.8 per completion and holds a 67.9% completion rate, having thrown 29 touchdowns.

UCLA Team Defense

The Bruins defense comes into the game with 35 sacks, and ranked 1st in QB hurries. In terms of points allowed, they are giving up 16.4 points per game (55th). When it comes to defending the pass, they are ranked 82nd in the NCAA, allowing an average of 219.1 passing yards per game. Additionally, UCLA’s run defense comes in allowing 74.8 rushing yards per contest.

USC Team Defense

As we head into this week’s game, the USC defense ranks 146th for points allowed, with an average of 34.6 points per game. Teams have been gaining 264.3 passing yards per game against them (154th nationally). Against the run, they’ve given up 183.8 rushing yards, placing them 143rd in college football.

UCLA vs USC Trends

  • Looking at UCLA’s three most recent road games, they have put together a record vs. the spread of 1-2.
  • Looking across USC’s three most recent home games, they are 1-2 against the spread.
  • Trojans is 2-3 in their last five games as underdogs.
  • Looking back on the last five times UCLA was favored, their ATS record was 2-3.

UCLA vs USC Prediction

UCLA’s pass defense was able to contain Oregon’s passing attack in their recent game. Even as 6.5-point underdogs on their away turf, I believe they have what it takes to cover against USC.

The analysis we’ve been running for this game has UCLA and USC finishing with a combined 65 points. With the over/under line sitting at 65.5, I’m getting a bet down on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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