Utah vs Arizona
PublishedNovember 16, 2023,            Posted By: Maria Uebelhor
Last updated:November 17, 2023 , ,

NCAAF: Utah vs. Arizona Prediction 11/18/2023

The Utah Utes (7-3) travel to face off against the Arizona Wildcats (7-3) on Saturday, November 18th. This game will be played at Arizona Stadium in Tucson and televised on PACN. Arizona is coming off a win in their previous game, while Utah is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Washington. Kickoff is set for 2:30 ET.

Utah Utes vs Arizona Wildcats

The Utah Utes Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Utah is coming off a 35-28 loss to Washington and were unable to pull out a win in the 4th quarter as Washington outscored Utah by zero in the final period. In the loss against Washington, quarterback Bryson Barnes wrapped up the game with a QB rating of 80.83 after completing 17 of 30 passes for 267 yards. He also added two touchdowns to his performance.

The over hit in this game as the team’s combined for 63 point and the over/under line was 49.5. Utah did cover the spread even with a straight-up loss because they were 9-point underdogs.

This season, the Utah Utes are currently 7-3. So far this season, they have played four road games and five at home.

Heading into this week’s matchup with Arizona, the Utes have been favored in five games and the underdog in four. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 6-3. Over the course of 10 games, the average over/under line in Utah’s matchups has been 45.9 points. These games have had an average combined score of 43.1 points, leading to an OU record of 4-5.

The Arizona Wildcats Are Coming Off A Win

In their most recent game, Arizona and Colorado both had big offensive performances, with Arizona coming out on a top by a score of 34-31. In the win against Colorado, quarterback Noah Fifita wrapped up the game with a QB rating of 96.61 after completing 21 of 35 passes for 214 yards. He also added two touchdowns to his performance.

Even though Arizona won straight-up, they did not cover the spread as 10 point favorites. The pre-game over/under line was 55.5, which Arizona and Colorado surpassed.

So far, the Arizona Wildcats are 7-3, including going 3-0 on the road and 3-1 at home.

Arizona has gone into three games as the favorite this season and four games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 5-2. So far this season, the average over/under line for Arizona’s games has been 59.2 points. The Wildcats have an over/under record of 1-6 heading into this week’s game.

Utah Offense Breakdown

Heading into their matchup vs. Arizona, the Utes’ offense is averaging 185.2 rushing yards per game, along with 4 yards per attempt. They currently hold the 31st rank in rushing yards and 113th rank in passing yards, amassing an average of 170.2 yards per game. In terms of scoring, Utah is at 25.3 points per game, which is 66th in the NCAA.

Bryson Barnes is the top passer for the team this season, with 1197 yards and an average of 11.6 per completion. His completion rate is 58.5%, and he’s thrown 10 touchdowns.

Arizona Offense Breakdown

The Wildcats are currently ranked 74th in college football with 317 rushing attempts per game. In terms of rush yards, they are at 158.6 rushing yards per game, which is 65th in the nation. Looking at their production in the passing game, they are averaging 35.2 attempts per game and gain an average of 280.2 passing yards. Overall, they hold the 38th spot with 31.1 points per game.

So far this season, Noah Fifita has thrown for 1735 yards, averaging 10.5 per completion. His completion percentage is 73.7%, and he’s registered 16 touchdowns.

Utah Team Defense

The Utes defense will take the field with 30 sacks and are 1st QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re at 17.8 points per game (59th). Against the pass, the team is 73rd in the NCAA, allowing 214.2 passing yards per game. Additionally, Utah’s run defense has 85.8 rushing yards per contest.

Arizona Team Defense

This season, the Wildcats’ defense has allowed 99.8 rushing yards per contest, placing them 192nd. Opponents are averaging 235.3 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks hold a passer rating of 93.8 when facing Arizona. They currently hold the 73rd spot in NCAA points allowed.

Utah vs Arizona Trends

  • Utah’s ten most recent games vs. the spread has seen them go 5-5 against the spread.
  • At home, Arizona has gone 6-4 against the spread (last ten).
  • Looking back at the last ten times Arizona went into a game as the underdog, their ATS mark was 8-2.
  • Utah are 3-0 in their last three games as favorites.

Utah vs Arizona Prediction

Coming into this game, Arizona’s offense has been a below average group at converting on third downs. I’m not counting on them suddenly figuring this out and like Utah +1.

With the over/under line at 44.5, I’m backing the over for this game. Arizona games have produced an average combined score of 52 points, and I expect this game to go over 44.5.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.