Vanderbilt Commodores vs Missouri Tigers NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Vanderbilt vs Missouri Prediction 9/21/2024

The Vanderbilt Commodores (2-1) face off against the Missouri Tigers (3-0) on Saturday, September 21st. This game will be played at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium in Columbia and televised on SECN. Missouri is coming off a win in their previous game, while Vanderbilt is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Georgia State. Kickoff is set for 4:15 ET.

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Missouri Tigers

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Vanderbilt Offense Breakdown

Vanderbilt’s offense put up 381 yards in their 36-32 loss to Georgia State, with 270 of those yards coming through the air. Diego Pavia completed 54.5% of his passes for 270 yards, throwing two touchdowns and finishing with a passer rating of 101.83. Eli Stowers was his top target, hauling in nine receptions for 110 yards.

The Commodores moved the chains 23 times but struggled to establish the run, gaining just 111 yards on 33 carries. Sedrick Alexander led the ground game with 42 yards on 11 attempts and added a rushing touchdown.

Missouri Offense Breakdown

Quarterback Brady Cook led Missouri’s offense to a 27-21 win over Boston College, throwing for 264 yards and one touchdown. He completed 70% of his passes and earned a passer rating of 108.19. Luther Burden III was his top target, catching six passes for 117 yards and a touchdown.

The Tigers’ offense totaled 448 yards, with 184 yards coming on the ground. Nate Noel led the rushing attack with 121 yards on 22 carries, averaging 5.5 yards per attempt. Missouri picked up 22 first downs and converted 7 of 15 third-down attempts.

Vanderbilt Team Defense

Vanderbilt’s defense will be looking to bounce back after giving up 426 total yards and 36 points in their last game. They struggled to contain Georgia State’s passing attack, allowing 269 yards through the air and three touchdowns. The Commodores’ secondary did come up with an interception, but they’ll need to be more consistent in coverage. On the ground, Vanderbilt gave up 157 yards and a rushing touchdown.

Vanderbilt Team Defense

Missouri’s defense will be looking to improve after allowing 249 passing yards and three touchdowns in their last game. Despite these numbers, the Tigers’ defense did come up with two interceptions. Overall, Missouri gave up 298 total yards and 27 points, with 16 first downs allowed.

Vanderbilt vs Missouri Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Vanderbilt Commodores have a straight up record of 1-9 while going 3-7 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 17 points per game in these contests.
  • Across the Missouri Tigers last ten home games, the team averaged 27 points per game while allowing 23. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 9-1, while going 6-4 straight-up.
  • As the betting underdog, the Vanderbilt Commodores have an ATS mark of just 2-3 in their last five games. Vanderbilt posted a straight up mark of 1-4 in these matchups.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Missouri Tigers have a strong straight up record of 5-0. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.

Commodores vs Tigers Prediction

Missouri is favored by -21 points in their week four matchup against Vanderbilt. We expect Missouri to win by a score of 35-12, and with this being a -21 point spread, we like Missouri to cover as the heavy favorite.

For the over/under, the line is set at 53.5 points, and our projection of 47 total points suggests that taking the under is the best play for this matchup.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.