vanderbilt vs tennessee ncaaf prediction

NCAAF Vanderbilt vs Tennessee Prediction 11/25/2023

The Vanderbilt Commodores (2-9) travel to face off against the Tennessee Volunteers (7-4) on Saturday, November 25th. This game will be played at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville and televised on SECN. Both Vanderbilt and Tennessee will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 ET.

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Tennessee Volunteers

The Vanderbilt Commodores Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their most recent game, Vanderbilt took on South Carolina and lost by a score of 47-6. The Commodores trailed South Carolina by -21 going into the 4th quarter. In the loss vs. South Carolina, quarterback Ken Seals concluded with a QB rating of 68.15, connecting on 13 of 28 passes for 104 yards. He also added one touchdown to his performance.

Against the spread, Vanderbilt was not able to cover as 13.5-point underdogs. On the over/under, the line was 55 going into the game resulting in the under hitting.

So far, the Vanderbilt Commodores are 2-9, including going 0-5 on the road and 1-4 at home.

Against the spread, Vanderbilt has gone 1-9 this season. The Commodores have been favored two times compared to eight games as the underdog. This season, Vanderbilt has an over/under record of 7-3. Their games have, on average, produced a combined total of 57.8 points, with the typical over/under line being 54.6 points.

The Tennessee Volunteers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Tennessee is coming of a 38-10 loss to Georgia. The Volunteers were never able to receover from falling behind early, trailing 21-10 at the half. Against Georgia, Joe Milton III threw for 147 yards against Georgia, but did throw a touchdown pass. Overall his passer rating was 69.72 on a completion percentage of 56.7%.

Against the spread, Tennessee was not able to cover as 9.5-point underdogs. On the over/under, the line was 59 going into the game resulting in the under hitting.

The Tennessee Volunteers take on the Vanderbilt with a 7-4 record, including 2-3 on the road and 4-1 at home.

Tennessee’s average scoring differential for the season is +8.2 leading to an ATS mark of 6-4. The Volunteers have been favored eight times and the underdog in two games Tennessee has put together an over/under record of 5-5 throughout this season. The average combined score in their games has been 51.8 points, and the standard over/under line has stood at 55.5 points.

Vanderbilt Offense Breakdown

Vanderbilt’s rushing attack is ranked 93rd in college football with 316 rushing attempts per game. This has translated into an average of 98.4 rushing yards per game, placing them 119th nationally. On average, they are attempting 32.5 passes per game leading to 223.3 passing yards per contest. In terms of scoring, they hold the 77th position, averaging 22.7 points per game.

AJ Swann leads the team in passing yards this season with 1290. He’s averaging 13.9 per completion and holds a 53.8% completion rate, having thrown 11 touchdowns.

Tennessee Offense Breakdown

On offense, the Volunteers come in with the 54th ranked offense in terms of passing attempts and are averaging 233 passing yards per game. In the running game, they are 43rd in terms of attempts.

So far, Joe Milton III has accumulated 2431 passing yards while averaging 11.7 per completion. His completion rate for the year is 64.6%, and he’s tossed 16 touchdowns.

Vanderbilt Team Defense

The Commodores’ defense has allowed 177.4 rushing yards per game this season, ranking 81st. Opponents are averaging 264.2 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks hold a passer rating of 96.5 against Vanderbilt. They currently rank 10th in points allowed in the NCAA.

Tennessee Team Defense

Tennessee’s defense ranks 83rd in points allowed, with 21.8 points given up per game. Teams have been averaging 235.5 passing yards against them (119th nationally). On the ground, they’ve conceded 117.5 rushing yards, putting them 37th in college football.

Vanderbilt vs Tennessee Trends

  • When playing on the road, Vanderbilt has an ATS mark of 0-5 vs. the spread.
  • Tennessee’s ATS record at home (last five) is 2-3.
  • Tennessee’s ATS record in their ten most recent games as the underdog is 3-7.
  • Looking back on the last three times Vanderbilt was favored, their ATS record was 0-3.

Vanderbilt vs Tennessee Prediction

Tennessee’s passing game struggled in their recent matchup against South Carolina. I don’t anticipate a sudden improvement, which is why I’m favoring Vanderbilt as 26-point underdogs.

Heading into this matchup, Tennessee’s games have averaged 51.8 points per game. Given that the over/under line for this matchup is at 56.5, I’m taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.