west virginia vs baylor ncaaf prediction

NCAAF West Virginia vs Baylor Bears Prediction 11/25/2023

The West Virginia Mountaineers (7-4) travel to face off against the Baylor Bears (3-8) on Saturday, November 25th. This game will be played at McLane Stadium in Waco and televised on FS1. West Virginia is coming off a win in their previous game, while Baylor is looking to get back on track from a loss to the TCU. Kickoff is set for 7:00 ET.

West Virginia Mountaineers vs Baylor Bears

The West Virginia Mountaineers Are Coming Off A Win

The Mountaineers’ last game was a matchup vs. Cincinnati, ending in a 42-21 win for West Virginia. During the win against Cincinnati, quarterback Garrett Greene managed to score three rushing touchdowns while gaining 154 rushing yards. In the passing department, he had a completion rate of 63.2% and threw for 210 yards, resulting in a passer rating of 96.38.

Going into the game, West Virginia was favored by 5 and went on to cover the spread. The team’s combined 63 points surpassed the over/under line of 52.5.

So far, the West Virginia Mountaineers are 7-4, including going 2-3 on the road and 4-1 at home.

Heading into this week’s matchup with Baylor, the Mountaineers have been favored in five games and the underdog in five. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 6-4. The average point total in West Virginia’s 11 games is currently 58.5 points per game. This has led to an over/under record of 6-4 for the Mountaineers.

The Baylor Bears Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In the Bears’ 42-17 loss to TCU, the Bears jumped out to an early 7-0 in the first quarter but were unable to ride that momentum to a win. In Baylor’s most recent loss, Blake Shapen not only threw for one touchdown but ran for one as well. For the game, he threw for a total of 197 yards while completing 66.7% of his passes.

Going into the game, Baylor was the 14-point underdogs and in addition to losing straight-up, they did not cover the spread. The team’s combined 59 points was not enough to surpass the over/under line of 61.

With a 3-8 record, the Baylor Bears take on West Virginia. Their road record so far is (2-2) and at home (0-5).

Heading into this week’s matchup with West Virginia, the Bears have been favored in one game and the underdog in eight. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 3-6. Over 11 games, the average over/under line for Baylor’s games has been 54 points. The total score in these matchups has averaged 55.6 points, resulting in an OU record of 5-4.

West Virginia Offense Breakdown

West Virginia’s offense has put up an average of 31.4 points per game, placing them 36th in the NCAA rankings. Through the air, they’ve gained 197.9 passing yards on average, ranking 93rd in the nation. On the ground, they’re holding the 5th position in rushing yards, with 492 rushing attempts per game this season.

So far this season, Garrett Greene has thrown for 1909 yards, averaging 16 per completion. His completion percentage is 52%, and he’s registered 13 touchdowns.

Baylor Offense Breakdown

Baylor comes into the game with an offense averaging 22.4, which places them at 79th in the NCAA rankings. Their passing game has them ranked 35th nationally, with an average of 267.4 passing yards. In the rushing department, they’re 106th in the nation, with 370 rushing attempts per game for the season.

Blake Shapen is the team’s leading passer this season, racking up 2188 yards while averaging 11.9 per completion. His completion rate for the year stands at 61.7%, with 13 touchdowns.

West Virginia Team Defense

The West Virginia defense, going into this week’s game, holds 110th place for points allowed, allowing 27.2 points per game. Opponents have been gaining an average of 242.2 passing yards each game against them (134th in the country). On the ground, they’re yielding 148 rushing yards, ranking them 78th in college football.

Baylor Team Defense

Defensively, the Bears defense has come up with 18 sacks this season and are 1st in quarterback hurries. Overall, they are allowing 33.3 points per contest (140th). Against the pass, they are 110th in the NCAA, having allowed 233.5 passing yards allowed per game. Baylor is giving up 180.2 rushing yards per contest.

West Virginia vs Baylor Trends

  • West Virginia’s three most recent games vs. the spread has seen them go 1-2 against the spread.
  • Baylor is 1-2 ATS in their last home games.
  • Looking back at the last five times Baylor went into a game as the underdog, their ATS mark was 1-4.
  • West Virginia are 2-1 in their last three games as favorites.

West Virginia vs Baylor Prediction

I’m going with West Virginia at -6.5 for this game. Their defense looked good against Cincinnati and they should be in line for for another solid performance. I am projecting West Virginia to pick up the win and end up covering the spread against Baylor.

For this matchup, I’m going to be hammering the under, as our model has West Virginia and Baylor combining for 56 points. Right now the over/under line is sitting at 56.5, so I’d recommend getting some action on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.